Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:41:33

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 21.4/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 15.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
31,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,257.11
Current Value
$11,490.04
Period P&L
$1,232.92
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+12.62%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.26%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,121.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,232.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,232.92
Gross Return
+12.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,257.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:25am ET $76.77 123 $9,442.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:25am ET $72.85 123 $8,960.55 $8,997.60 $-482.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $71.05 126 $8,952.30
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $80.02 126 $10,082.52 $10,127.82 +$1,130.22
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.31 134 $10,091.54
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.04 134 $10,456.69 $10,492.97 +$365.15
(+3.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET $115.61 90 $10,404.90
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $108.59 90 $9,773.10 $9,861.17 $-631.80
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $113.15 87 $9,844.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $107.15 87 $9,322.06 $9,339.18 $-521.99
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $109.13 85 $9,276.05
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $120.69 85 $10,258.65 $10,321.78 +$982.60
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 86 $10,251.72
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 86 $11,460.46 $11,530.53 +$1,208.75
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 100 $11,485.38
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $126.94 100 $12,693.99 $12,739.14 +$1,208.61
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $139.63 91 $12,706.32
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.64 91 $12,070.24 $12,103.06 $-636.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $119.81 101 $12,100.81
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $113.74 101 $11,487.79 $11,490.04 $-613.02
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,490.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,490.04
Total Return: +14.90%
Back to Yolanda YOLO