Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:45:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 17.4/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 12.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
367 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,598.46
Current Value
$12,382.38
Period P&L
$-216.07
Max Drawdown
-44.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+12.74%
Worst Trade
-7.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$440,361.79
Estimated Fees
$1,100.90
Gross P&L
$-216.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,316.97
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.45%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 367 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $12,598.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:55am ET $2.77 4,550 $12,598.45
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 2:30pm ET $3.07 4,550 $13,984.33 $13,917.87 +$1,319.42
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:45am ET $3.24 4,300 $13,917.87
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 1:50am ET $3.06 4,300 $13,158.56 $13,090.87 $-827.00
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 8:30am ET $3.07 4,266 $13,090.87
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $2.91 4,266 $12,433.91 $12,370.10 $-720.77
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 2:00am ET $2.75 4,501 $12,370.10
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $3.03 4,501 $13,643.88 $13,578.85 +$1,208.75
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.4d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 4:55pm ET $2.49 5,449 $13,578.85
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.30 5,449 $12,505.90 $12,440.69 $-1,138.16
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 7,268 $12,440.69
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:25pm ET $1.93 7,268 $14,025.75 $13,959.59 +$1,518.90
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $2.03 6,864 $13,959.59
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:40pm ET $2.28 6,864 $15,678.28 $15,604.19 +$1,644.60
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:45pm ET $2.32 6,732 $15,604.19
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $2.55 6,732 $17,167.43 $17,085.51 +$1,481.32
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $2.00 8,526 $17,085.51
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $1.90 8,526 $16,185.57 $16,102.40 $-983.11
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:50pm ET $2.07 7,796 $16,102.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 8:25am ET $1.96 7,796 $15,272.91 $15,194.48 $-907.92
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.5d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:35am ET $1.88 8,076 $15,194.48
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 7:30pm ET $1.79 8,076 $14,418.36 $14,344.32 $-850.15
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.94 7,392 $14,344.32
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.84 7,392 $13,571.25 $13,501.46 $-842.86
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.56 8,660 $13,501.46
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 8:15pm ET $1.47 8,660 $12,764.52 $12,698.85 $-802.61
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $1.34 9,472 $12,698.85
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $1.27 9,472 $12,040.37 $11,978.52 $-720.33
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $1.29 9,269 $11,978.52
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $1.22 9,269 $11,330.61 $11,272.34 $-706.19
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $1.18 9,546 $11,272.34
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET $1.30 9,546 $12,441.67 $12,382.38 +$1,110.04
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,382.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,382.38
Total Return: +23.82%
Back to Yolanda YOLO