Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,016
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,685.22
Current Value
$9,807.23
Period P&L
$1,122.02
Max Drawdown
-49.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+21.04%
Worst Trade
-5.45%
Avg Trade Return
+2.03%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,312.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,122.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,122.02
Gross Return
+12.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,685.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.10 1,193 $8,464.34
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $6.73 1,193 $8,022.93 $8,023.10 $-441.41
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $5.50 1,460 $8,022.70
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET $5.21 1,460 $7,606.60 $7,607.00 $-416.10
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:25am ET $4.82 1,576 $7,602.62
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:25am ET $4.89 1,576 $7,706.64 $7,711.01 +$104.02
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,495 $7,706.73
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $4.90 1,495 $7,320.87 $7,325.15 $-385.86
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $4.71 1,554 $7,321.83
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $4.45 1,554 $6,923.07 $6,926.40 $-398.76
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,455 $6,925.36
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.88 1,455 $7,093.13 $7,094.16 +$167.76
(+2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $4.65 1,526 $7,091.47
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,526 $7,905.75 $7,908.43 +$814.27
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $4.65 1,526 $7,091.47
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 1,526 $8,583.75 $9,400.71 +$1,492.28
(+21.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $6.21 1,514 $9,400.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $6.84 1,514 $10,363.33 $10,363.77 +$963.06
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $6.14 1,687 $10,358.01
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $5.81 1,687 $9,801.47 $9,807.23 $-556.54
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,807.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-192.77
Total Return: -1.93%
Back to Yolanda YOLO