Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

41
+25.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,878
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,771.71
Current Value
$13,866.54
Period P&L
$4,094.79
Max Drawdown
-68.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+17.01%
Worst Trade
-11.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.73%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$564,889.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,094.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,094.79
Gross Return
+41.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+41.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,771.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 219 $9,755.25
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.89 219 $8,734.92 $8,751.43 $-1,020.32
(-10.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.29 206 $8,711.74
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 206 $8,078.29 $8,117.98 $-633.45
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.66 227 $8,093.69
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $33.83 227 $7,679.41 $7,703.70 $-414.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:45am ET $32.13 239 $7,679.05
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $30.47 239 $7,282.33 $7,306.98 $-396.72
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 173 $7,302.28
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $39.95 173 $6,911.35 $6,916.06 $-390.93
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.96 192 $6,903.36
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.07 192 $8,077.44 $8,090.14 +$1,174.08
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 163 $8,054.65
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $54.44 163 $8,873.05 $8,908.54 +$818.41
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 155 $8,900.88
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.92 155 $9,907.60 $9,915.27 +$1,006.73
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $68.16 145 $9,883.74
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 145 $9,245.93 $9,277.46 $-637.81
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $61.43 151 $9,275.81
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $58.31 151 $8,804.81 $8,806.46 $-471.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $50.38 174 $8,766.12
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 174 $10,004.13 $10,044.47 +$1,238.01
(+14.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.72 162 $9,998.64
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $68.71 162 $11,131.02 $11,176.85 +$1,132.38
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.71 181 $11,168.68
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:30am ET $67.89 181 $12,288.09 $12,296.26 +$1,119.41
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $64.11 191 $12,244.99
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $71.14 191 $13,587.74 $13,639.01 +$1,342.75
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $68.15 200 $13,630.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $64.00 200 $12,800.02 $12,809.03 $-829.98
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 220 $12,797.40
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 220 $12,078.00 $12,089.63 $-719.40
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.86 228 $12,052.08
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $50.02 228 $11,404.56 $11,442.11 $-647.52
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $54.60 209 $11,411.69
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $50.88 209 $10,633.90 $10,664.32 $-777.79
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $50.99 209 $10,657.95
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:55am ET $56.15 209 $11,735.96 $11,742.32 +$1,078.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $52.78 222 $11,717.16
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.14 222 $11,131.08 $11,156.24 $-586.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.12 206 $11,148.88
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 206 $10,520.83 $10,528.19 $-628.05
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $44.44 236 $10,486.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $42.06 236 $9,926.18 $9,967.71 $-560.48
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 211 $9,942.32
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $52.26 211 $11,026.86 $11,052.25 +$1,084.54
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $79.91 138 $11,027.58
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $88.10 138 $12,157.80 $12,182.47 +$1,130.22
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $108.45 112 $12,146.39
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.33 112 $14,148.96 $14,185.04 +$2,002.57
(+16.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $122.00 116 $14,152.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.29 116 $12,561.87 $12,594.56 $-1,590.48
(-11.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $126.14 99 $12,488.03
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $138.99 99 $13,760.01 $13,866.54 +$1,271.98
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,866.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,866.54
Total Return: +38.67%
Back to Yolanda YOLO