Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 01:06:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.8/10
Raw Quality 1.8/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 1.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,646
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,509.58
Current Value
$6,900.87
Period P&L
$-1,608.70
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.88

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-1.38%
Worst Trade
-8.67%
Avg Trade Return
-5.12%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$61,252.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,608.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,608.70
Gross Return
-18.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,509.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $277.77 30 $8,333.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.64 30 $7,999.20 $8,175.67 $-333.90
(-4.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $269.50 30 $8,085.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 30 $7,566.60 $7,657.27 $-518.40
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 31 $7,477.20
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $237.88 31 $7,374.28 $7,554.35 $-102.92
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET $221.62 34 $7,535.08
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 34 $6,881.60 $6,900.87 $-653.48
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,900.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,099.13
Total Return: -30.99%
Back to Yolanda YOLO