Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:35:59

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 9.2/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 7.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,647
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,628.80
Current Value
$10,225.64
Period P&L
$2,596.85
Max Drawdown
-49.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+21.04%
Worst Trade
-5.46%
Avg Trade Return
+3.80%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$152,456.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,596.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,596.85
Gross Return
+34.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,628.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,495 $7,706.73
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $4.90 1,495 $7,320.87 $7,325.15 $-385.86
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $4.71 1,554 $7,321.83
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $4.45 1,554 $6,923.07 $6,926.40 $-398.76
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,455 $6,925.36
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.88 1,455 $7,093.13 $7,094.16 +$167.76
(+2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $4.65 1,526 $7,091.47
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,526 $7,905.75 $7,908.43 +$814.27
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $4.65 1,526 $7,091.47
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 1,526 $8,583.75 $9,400.71 +$1,492.28
(+21.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $6.21 1,514 $9,400.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $6.84 1,514 $10,363.33 $10,363.77 +$963.06
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $6.14 1,687 $10,358.01
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $5.81 1,687 $9,801.47 $9,807.23 $-556.54
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:00am ET $6.22 1,575 $9,804.37
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $5.89 1,575 $9,268.88 $9,271.73 $-535.50
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $5.20 1,783 $9,271.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:25am ET $5.74 1,783 $10,225.51 $10,225.64 +$953.91
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,225.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$225.64
Total Return: +2.26%
Back to Yolanda YOLO