Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.5/35
Total Return
73.5/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 113.3/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 15.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,920
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$8,760.16
Total P&L
$-1,239.84
Max Drawdown
-17.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+4.73%
Worst Trade
-7.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.80%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$124,615.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,239.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,239.84
Gross Return
-12.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2024 9:30am ET $106.98 93 $9,948.68
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 11:05am ET $101.56 93 $9,445.08 $9,496.41 $-503.59
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:35am ET $98.47 96 $9,453.12
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2025 10:35am ET $97.38 96 $9,348.48 $9,391.77 $-104.64
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:45am ET $92.49 101 $9,340.99
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $85.89 101 $8,674.89 $8,725.67 $-666.10
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $86.99 100 $8,699.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:35pm ET $82.58 100 $8,258.00 $8,284.67 $-441.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET $112.63 73 $8,221.99
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 9:35am ET $117.96 73 $8,611.08 $8,673.76 +$389.09
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $106.79 81 $8,649.59
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $106.08 81 $8,592.48 $8,616.66 $-57.10
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 82 $8,614.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $106.80 82 $8,757.60 $8,760.16 +$143.50
(+1.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,760.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,239.84
Total Return: -12.40%
Back to Yolanda YOLO