TQQQ Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+80.95%
2 Years Return
$26,438.03
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$14,610.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
18.4/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
44.5/100
× Confidence 0.80
= 35.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,623
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$14,610.58
Current Value
$26,438.03
Total P&L
$11,827.44
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
20 /
25
Best Trade
+18.84%
Worst Trade
-15.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,702,262.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,827.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,827.44
Gross Return
+80.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+80.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $14,610.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $38.51 | 379 | $14,596.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 11:10am ET | $36.33 | 379 | $13,769.11 | $13,783.45 |
$-827.13 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $34.80 | 396 | $13,780.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 2:40pm ET | $33.05 | 396 | $13,085.82 | $13,088.47 |
$-694.98 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 11:00am ET | $32.99 | 396 | $13,062.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 1:35pm ET | $31.23 | 396 | $12,365.10 | $12,391.51 |
$-696.96 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $25.20 | 491 | $12,373.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 12:20pm ET | $27.83 | 491 | $13,662.08 | $13,680.38 |
+$1,288.88 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 2:10pm ET | $26.91 | 508 | $13,670.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 9, 2024 1:25pm ET | $29.67 | 508 | $15,071.09 | $15,081.19 |
+$1,400.81 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 10:30am ET | $32.48 | 464 | $15,070.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $30.74 | 464 | $14,261.04 | $14,271.51 |
$-809.68 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2024 10:25am ET | $29.40 | 485 | $14,256.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $32.36 | 485 | $15,694.60 | $15,709.25 |
+$1,437.73 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2024 10:15am ET | $34.40 | 456 | $15,684.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $37.89 | 456 | $17,279.62 | $17,304.74 |
+$1,595.50 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:40am ET | $36.09 | 479 | $17,284.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $40.27 | 479 | $19,291.01 | $19,311.03 |
+$2,006.29 (+11.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET | $38.31 | 504 | $19,308.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $42.38 | 504 | $21,359.52 | $21,362.31 |
+$2,051.28 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET | $43.62 | 489 | $21,330.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $41.35 | 489 | $20,217.71 | $20,249.84 |
$-1,112.48 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:00am ET | $41.78 | 484 | $20,219.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 12:35pm ET | $39.54 | 484 | $19,138.57 | $19,169.31 |
$-1,080.53 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $37.98 | 504 | $19,139.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $41.80 | 504 | $21,065.94 | $21,095.85 |
+$1,926.54 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.46 | 534 | $21,071.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 11:00am ET | $43.46 | 534 | $23,208.98 | $23,233.18 |
+$2,137.34 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $38.99 | 595 | $23,199.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $36.66 | 595 | $21,809.73 | $21,843.86 |
$-1,389.33 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:15pm ET | $34.90 | 625 | $21,812.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $33.15 | 625 | $20,715.69 | $20,747.05 |
$-1,096.81 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 10:20am ET | $34.38 | 603 | $20,728.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $32.36 | 603 | $19,510.97 | $19,529.89 |
$-1,217.16 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $30.77 | 634 | $19,508.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $29.19 | 634 | $18,503.29 | $18,525.00 |
$-1,004.89 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $30.34 | 610 | $18,505.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $33.38 | 610 | $20,361.80 | $20,380.93 |
+$1,855.93 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $30.05 | 678 | $20,375.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 3:30pm ET | $28.51 | 678 | $19,331.00 | $19,336.33 |
$-1,044.59 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.83 | 720 | $19,314.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $25.42 | 720 | $18,302.18 | $18,324.52 |
$-1,011.82 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 12:15pm ET | $21.61 | 847 | $18,303.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.31 | 847 | $15,504.34 | $15,525.10 |
$-2,799.42 (-15.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $22.10 | 702 | $15,513.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:55pm ET | $20.97 | 702 | $14,717.43 | $14,728.75 |
$-796.35 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.47 | 602 | $14,727.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $23.19 | 602 | $13,960.32 | $13,961.14 |
$-767.61 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $24.36 | 573 | $13,958.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $22.97 | 573 | $13,163.24 | $13,166.10 |
$-795.04 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.77 | 604 | $13,149.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 11:30am ET | $20.61 | 604 | $12,449.04 | $12,466.12 |
$-699.98 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET | $23.98 | 519 | $12,443.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $26.38 | 519 | $13,689.92 | $13,713.02 |
+$1,246.90 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.96 | 528 | $13,705.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.65 | 528 | $15,124.56 | $15,132.07 |
+$1,419.05 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.20 | 536 | $15,116.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.42 | 536 | $17,377.76 | $17,393.30 |
+$2,261.22 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.84 | 529 | $17,371.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.19 | 529 | $19,142.66 | $19,164.92 |
+$1,771.62 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.20 | 454 | $19,156.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $46.59 | 454 | $21,149.59 | $21,157.98 |
+$1,993.06 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $42.38 | 499 | $21,147.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.82 | 499 | $23,360.69 | $23,371.04 |
+$2,213.07 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $51.21 | 456 | $23,349.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $48.54 | 456 | $22,131.96 | $22,153.52 |
$-1,217.52 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.06 | 451 | $22,127.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $53.99 | 451 | $24,349.49 | $24,375.83 |
+$2,222.30 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.23 | 433 | $24,347.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $53.30 | 433 | $23,077.95 | $23,106.18 |
$-1,269.64 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.50 | 466 | $23,064.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET | $46.74 | 466 | $21,780.79 | $21,822.31 |
$-1,283.88 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $54.12 | 403 | $21,810.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $51.26 | 403 | $20,655.85 | $20,667.75 |
$-1,154.55 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.59 | 400 | $20,636.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.77 | 400 | $22,709.48 | $22,741.23 |
+$2,073.48 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.26 | 419 | $22,736.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $51.54 | 419 | $21,595.26 | $21,599.54 |
$-1,141.69 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.14 | 458 | $21,590.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.90 | 458 | $23,769.28 | $23,778.71 |
+$2,179.16 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.10 | 484 | $23,766.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $46.42 | 484 | $22,464.86 | $22,476.75 |
$-1,301.96 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.91 | 489 | $22,449.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.60 | 489 | $24,743.45 | $24,770.21 |
+$2,293.46 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.75 | 553 | $24,746.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $42.47 | 553 | $23,484.69 | $23,508.15 |
$-1,262.06 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $39.65 | 592 | $23,474.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $37.53 | 592 | $22,214.80 | $22,248.37 |
$-1,259.78 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.02 | 542 | $22,232.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 542 | $26,422.50 | $26,438.03 |
+$4,189.66 (+18.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$26,438.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$16,438.03
Total Return:
+164.38%