Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,739.14
Total P&L
$2,739.13
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+12.62%
Worst Trade
-7.63%
Avg Trade Return
+2.52%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$222,091.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,739.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,739.13
Gross Return
+27.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET $72.06 138 $9,944.27
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2024 9:30am ET $74.98 138 $10,346.65 $10,402.38 +$402.38
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $72.59 143 $10,380.37
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $67.05 143 $9,588.12 $9,610.13 $-792.25
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $64.45 149 $9,603.05
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:35am ET $63.58 149 $9,472.68 $9,479.76 $-130.38
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:25am ET $76.77 123 $9,442.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:25am ET $72.85 123 $8,960.55 $8,997.60 $-482.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $71.05 126 $8,952.30
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $80.02 126 $10,082.52 $10,127.82 +$1,130.22
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.31 134 $10,091.54
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.04 134 $10,456.69 $10,492.97 +$365.15
(+3.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET $115.61 90 $10,404.90
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $108.59 90 $9,773.10 $9,861.17 $-631.80
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $113.15 87 $9,844.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $107.15 87 $9,322.06 $9,339.18 $-521.99
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $109.13 85 $9,276.05
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $120.69 85 $10,258.65 $10,321.78 +$982.60
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 86 $10,251.72
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 86 $11,460.46 $11,530.53 +$1,208.75
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 100 $11,485.38
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $126.94 100 $12,693.99 $12,739.14 +$1,208.61
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,739.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,739.14
Total Return: +27.39%
Back to Yolanda YOLO