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Professor Mean
8

Professor Mean

The Mathematician

📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)

"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."

Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Nov 14, 2025 Feb 14, 2026 (92 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,794
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,388 ($-594)
-5.72%
Last 3 Months ROI
55.3%
Win Rate
7,394
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-4.3%
1 Month
-5.7%
3 Months
-5.6%
6 Months
-4.5%
YTD
-6.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$40,328,488
3,809 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$9,589,280
3,585 trades
Crypto Fees
$23,973
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean

When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.

🎯 Best Suited For

Range-bound stocks and ETFs

"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Rules

• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MEAN_PERIOD: 20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS: 2
EXIT_AT_MEAN: 1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS: 3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 10

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean

Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Nov 14, 2025 Feb 14, 2026 (92 days)
Rank Symbol Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 NET +15.82% $10,694 $12,385 37 54% - +$1,692 -16.9% 6.4h -
2 INTC +13.85% $8,733 $9,943 38 55% - +$1,210 -24.3% 6.5h -
3 BMY +12.91% $13,732 $15,505 38 66% - +$1,773 -10.5% 5.6h -
4 SOXL +11.83% $12,824 $14,341 27 63% - +$1,517 -43.9% 5.2h -
5 MARA +10.31% $10,448 $11,525 41 61% - +$1,077 -29.5% 6.1h -
6 MRK +10.19% $10,751 $11,846 37 73% - +$1,096 -8.0% 4.8h -
7 MU +8.79% $10,568 $11,497 34 59% - +$929 -23.5% 4.9h -
8 TSLA +6.86% $8,576 $9,165 37 54% - +$588 -25.6% 5.0h -
9 SMCI +6.62% $7,607 $8,111 37 76% - +$504 -55.7% 5.3h -
10 BIIB +6.53% $8,483 $9,037 40 73% - +$554 -26.8% 4.7h -
11 CVX +6.46% $10,636 $11,323 40 73% - +$687 -5.5% 6.1h -
12 PG +5.89% $10,361 $10,971 35 77% - +$610 -7.0% 6.1h -
13 XLE +5.71% $9,286 $9,816 39 64% - +$530 -13.3% 5.3h -
14 COP +5.64% $9,121 $9,635 37 70% - +$514 -18.3% 5.6h -
15 DIS +5.43% $8,816 $9,295 40 63% - +$479 -21.3% 6.2h -
16 SLV +5.12% $11,245 $11,821 36 61% - +$576 -25.0% 4.9h -
17 PLTR +4.94% $18,149 $19,046 40 70% - +$897 -11.2% 4.9h -
18 SLB +4.76% $9,443 $9,893 34 71% - +$450 -18.4% 6.7h -
19 SQQQ +4.33% $5,891 $6,146 38 68% - +$255 -42.9% 6.3h -
20 UNH +3.95% $9,017 $9,374 40 68% - +$356 -22.2% 5.8h -
21 CRM +3.89% $9,969 $10,356 37 65% - +$388 -9.2% 8.0h -
22 GILD +3.87% $9,217 $9,574 38 58% - +$357 -18.5% 6.6h -
23 GOOGL +3.37% $10,803 $11,167 36 56% - +$364 -9.9% 5.7h -
24 RIVN +3.23% $7,143 $7,374 37 62% - +$231 -32.4% 7.7h -
25 ARKK +3.16% $10,578 $10,913 38 66% - +$334 -16.4% 6.2h -
26 BRK-B +2.76% $11,584 $11,904 38 58% - +$320 -4.6% 6.3h -
27 GS +2.70% $13,336 $13,697 37 65% - +$360 -3.9% 6.1h -
28 SCHW +2.64% $12,437 $12,766 40 58% - +$328 -7.0% 5.7h -
29 AAPL +2.54% $10,952 $11,230 37 59% - +$278 -13.3% 6.8h -
30 JNJ +2.49% $11,155 $11,432 33 70% - +$278 -5.7% 5.0h -
31 KO +2.48% $10,220 $10,474 29 55% - +$253 -6.2% 5.8h -
32 XLK +2.31% $10,791 $11,040 40 68% - +$249 -11.6% 6.8h -
33 HD +2.24% $10,405 $10,638 36 64% - +$233 -5.1% 3.8h -
34 MA +2.14% $10,318 $10,539 36 64% - +$221 -5.8% 7.6h -
35 GLD +2.13% $9,609 $9,814 39 59% - +$205 -7.6% 5.1h -
36 PEP +1.97% $9,755 $9,948 36 64% - +$192 -12.9% 6.3h -
37 VRTX +1.89% $11,536 $11,754 39 59% - +$218 -5.5% 5.3h -
38 CMCSA +1.76% $9,043 $9,203 38 55% - +$159 -19.7% 6.3h -
39 AXP +1.69% $10,905 $11,090 37 57% - +$184 -12.7% 4.9h -
40 LCID +1.67% $9,595 $9,755 37 62% - +$160 -30.7% 5.2h -
41 SPXU +1.65% $10,435 $10,607 33 58% - +$172 -19.1% 10.6h -
42 AMZN +1.52% $10,761 $10,925 40 65% - +$164 -15.2% 5.8h -
43 VOO +1.17% $10,835 $10,962 39 67% - +$127 -5.6% 5.6h -
44 RIOT +1.00% $9,363 $9,457 35 66% - +$94 -50.0% 7.1h -
45 AMGN +0.99% $10,831 $10,938 38 58% - +$107 -10.0% 4.5h -
46 WMT +0.92% $11,502 $11,608 35 60% - +$106 -4.5% 6.2h -
47 SPY +0.89% $10,497 $10,591 36 67% - +$93 -7.1% 5.9h -
48 LLY +0.81% $8,460 $8,528 38 68% - +$69 -24.9% 5.9h -
49 ISRG +0.60% $12,510 $12,585 39 56% - +$75 -17.0% 4.5h -
50 AMC +0.57% $17,103 $17,200 39 62% - +$97 -18.6% 5.2h -
51 USO +0.30% $11,347 $11,381 37 59% - +$34 -11.5% 5.6h -
52 TLT +0.22% $10,117 $10,140 39 56% - +$22 -6.8% 5.3h -
53 PEPEUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
54 SHIBUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
55 QQQ -0.03% $10,617 $10,614 39 62% - -$3 -4.4% 6.1h -
56 NVDA -0.08% $14,419 $14,407 39 62% - -$12 -11.5% 4.4h -
57 ORCL -0.28% $8,917 $8,892 37 59% - -$25 -27.9% 6.9h -
58 BLK -0.32% $13,644 $13,601 38 66% - -$44 -4.0% 4.8h -
59 VTI -0.36% $9,991 $9,955 39 62% - -$36 -8.8% 6.0h -
60 MS -0.36% $10,914 $10,874 38 63% - -$39 -9.7% 6.1h -
61 META -0.55% $12,501 $12,432 39 56% - -$69 -5.9% 5.3h -
62 WFC -0.72% $9,596 $9,527 37 70% - -$69 -15.9% 6.5h -
63 ARM -0.97% $13,017 $12,891 40 55% - -$126 -16.8% 6.3h -
64 NFLX -0.98% $11,066 $10,958 39 59% - -$108 -13.7% 6.8h -
65 ADBE -1.01% $8,681 $8,594 40 58% - -$88 -18.6% 6.8h -
66 IWM -1.05% $9,375 $9,277 36 58% - -$98 -14.5% 7.0h -
67 MDT -1.17% $9,100 $8,993 37 57% - -$106 -13.7% 4.9h -
68 PM -1.29% $10,647 $10,510 35 54% - -$137 -10.7% 5.3h -
69 XOM -1.32% $10,988 $10,843 37 62% - -$145 -9.1% 5.5h -
70 TQQQ -1.70% $10,442 $10,264 40 63% - -$178 -17.9% 5.9h -
71 ACN -1.88% $9,131 $8,959 37 62% - -$172 -15.0% 6.8h -
72 OXY -2.02% $8,747 $8,570 36 56% - -$177 -17.0% 6.1h -
73 MCD -2.17% $12,482 $12,211 36 44% - -$271 -4.1% 5.4h -
74 PFE -2.27% $10,210 $9,978 37 49% - -$232 -11.8% 6.2h -
75 V -2.29% $10,661 $10,417 39 67% - -$244 -5.0% 6.8h -
76 PYPL -2.30% $9,875 $9,648 36 53% - -$227 -17.7% 6.3h -
77 COIN -2.38% $10,034 $9,795 36 47% - -$239 -42.7% 6.1h -
78 TMO -2.76% $10,187 $9,906 38 50% - -$281 -13.7% 5.2h -
79 C -2.84% $11,974 $11,634 35 37% - -$340 -6.0% 5.3h -
80 DIA -3.01% $9,624 $9,334 35 54% - -$290 -11.0% 5.4h -
81 VXX -3.16% $11,733 $11,363 36 61% - -$371 -19.3% 6.2h -
82 REGN -3.56% $11,290 $10,888 38 50% - -$402 -13.4% 6.7h -
83 BAC -3.83% $10,372 $9,975 36 44% - -$397 -7.2% 6.8h -
84 XLF -3.83% $11,144 $10,717 36 50% - -$427 -5.4% 6.9h -
85 VZ -4.20% $10,121 $9,696 35 49% - -$425 -12.7% 5.7h -
86 PANW -4.45% $9,474 $9,052 39 54% - -$422 -24.6% 6.9h -
87 AMD -4.45% $10,359 $9,898 39 56% - -$461 -28.5% 6.3h -
88 COST -4.81% $11,154 $10,618 39 59% - -$537 -7.2% 5.7h -
89 DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION -5.07% $10,096 $9,584 36 36% $1,821 -$512 -99.1% 1.0h 5 Feb 6, 2026
22d left
90 UVXY -5.17% $9,370 $8,886 37 59% - -$484 -33.5% 6.8h -
91 JPM -5.38% $11,674 $11,046 36 53% - -$628 -7.6% 5.9h -
92 GME -5.78% $7,749 $7,301 40 43% - -$448 -44.4% 6.8h -
93 CSCO -5.79% $10,301 $9,705 40 50% - -$596 -10.7% 7.5h -
94 IBM -5.97% $11,073 $10,412 38 50% - -$661 -9.2% 4.7h -
95 AVGO -6.38% $12,473 $11,677 36 58% - -$796 -12.8% 5.7h -
96 RBLX -6.54% $13,368 $12,494 39 54% - -$874 -18.1% 7.7h -
97 MSFT -7.10% $10,277 $9,547 38 55% - -$730 -10.0% 4.8h -
98 NIO -7.36% $9,785 $9,065 34 47% - -$720 -30.0% 6.6h -
99 ABBV -9.15% $9,929 $9,021 38 61% - -$909 -17.6% 6.6h -
100 DOGEUSD -9.47% $4,313 $3,905 48 54% $6,953 -$408 -150.9% 4.0h 1 Jul 30, 2025
101 CRWD -9.86% $15,897 $14,329 42 50% - -$1,567 -12.6% 6.7h -
102 SOFI -10.57% $11,042 $9,875 38 53% - -$1,167 -26.0% 5.5h -
103 SNOW -12.55% $13,531 $11,833 38 55% - -$1,698 -17.7% 6.3h -
104 HOOD -13.25% $14,579 $12,647 37 51% - -$1,932 -26.1% 6.6h -
105 DKNG -14.59% $13,965 $11,928 38 53% - -$2,038 -14.0% 5.1h -
106 MRNA -15.32% $7,456 $6,314 36 58% - -$1,142 -31.7% 6.1h -
107 AVAXUSD 🚫 PROBATION -43.61% $10,100 $5,695 119 26% $4,329 -$4,404 -99.0% 1.1h 5 Jan 25, 2026
10d left
108 ETHUSD 🚫 PROBATION -48.11% $10,100 $5,241 150 26% $5,306 -$4,859 -99.0% 1.0h 5 Jan 22, 2026
7d left
109 LINKUSD -89.97% $10,102 $1,013 475 19% $9,508 -$9,089 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Nov 25, 2025
110 BTCUSD -91.78% $6,215 $511 557 12% $10,316 -$5,704 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Oct 30, 2025
111 XRPUSD -92.29% $2,178 $168 532 19% $11,772 -$2,010 -99.0% 1.2h 3 Sep 14, 2025
112 LTCUSD -92.55% $4,826 $360 561 21% $12,747 -$4,467 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 10, 2025
113 SOLUSD -93.52% $4,869 $316 544 17% $8,456 -$4,554 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 27, 2025
114 UNIUSD -93.61% $9,003 $575 563 30% $8,736 -$8,428 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Nov 11, 2025

👤 Personality

Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.