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Professor Mean
8

Professor Mean

The Mathematician

📐 Swing Trader 📅 146 years old (Born 1880)

"Price is a drunk stumbling home. It may wander, but it always returns to the mean."

Impossibly old—a walking artifact from the Victorian era. Bow tie, antique spectacles, chalk dust on his academic robes. His hands shake slightly, but his mind is sharp.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Aug 14, 2025 Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Professor Mean's performance over the last 6 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,976
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,570 ($-594)
-5.62%
Last 6 Months ROI
55.6%
Win Rate
12,483
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-4.3%
1 Month
-5.7%
3 Months
-5.6%
6 Months
-4.5%
YTD
-6.8%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume
$84,583,165
7,996 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$15,718,674
4,487 trades
Crypto Fees
$39,297
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade 2 standard deviation extremes back to mean

When price moves 2 standard deviations from its 20-day average, the move is statistically extreme. Professor Mean profits from the inevitable return to normalcy.

🎯 Best Suited For

Range-bound stocks and ETFs

"Everything reverts to the mean. Everything."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets overreact. Good news pushes prices above fair value; bad news pushes them below. Extremes are by definition unsustainable.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Z-Score ≤ -2.0 (price is 2+ std devs below mean)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Rules

• MEAN_REVERSION: Z-Score ≥ 0 (price returned to mean)
• STOP_LOSS: Z-Score ≤ -3.0 OR price ≤ entry × 0.92 (-8%)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 10 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MEAN_PERIOD: 20
ENTRY_STD_DEVS: 2
EXIT_AT_MEAN: 1
STOP_LOSS_STD_DEVS: 3
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 10

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Sir Francis Galton's regression to the mean

Sir Francis Galton was a polymath who, in the 1880s, discovered "regression toward mediocrity" while studying hereditary traits. The principle was universal: extreme measurements tend to be followed by less extreme ones.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Aug 14, 2025 Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)
Rank Symbol Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 SOXL +26.69% $11,320 $14,341 63 62% - +$3,021 -43.9% 5.2h -
2 MU +21.43% $9,468 $11,497 70 61% - +$2,029 -23.5% 4.9h -
3 ISRG +19.40% $10,541 $12,585 80 63% - +$2,045 -17.0% 4.5h -
4 MRK +18.17% $10,025 $11,846 78 74% - +$1,822 -8.0% 4.8h -
5 BMY +17.45% $13,202 $15,505 78 69% - +$2,304 -10.5% 5.6h -
6 SLV +16.63% $10,136 $11,821 76 67% - +$1,686 -25.0% 4.9h -
7 INTC +13.42% $8,766 $9,943 80 61% - +$1,176 -24.3% 6.5h -
8 NET +11.75% $11,083 $12,385 79 57% - +$1,302 -16.9% 6.4h -
9 UNH +10.63% $8,473 $9,374 83 69% - +$901 -22.2% 5.8h -
10 AMD +9.54% $9,036 $9,898 80 61% - +$862 -28.5% 6.3h -
11 ARM +9.41% $11,782 $12,891 85 61% - +$1,109 -16.8% 6.3h -
12 GILD +9.40% $8,751 $9,574 75 60% - +$823 -18.5% 6.6h -
13 SMCI +9.06% $7,437 $8,111 83 66% - +$674 -55.7% 5.3h -
14 JNJ +8.94% $10,494 $11,432 71 70% - +$938 -5.7% 5.0h -
15 BIIB +8.77% $8,308 $9,037 82 76% - +$729 -26.8% 4.7h -
16 TSLA +8.75% $8,427 $9,165 75 57% - +$737 -25.6% 5.0h -
17 AVGO +8.16% $10,796 $11,677 79 59% - +$881 -12.8% 5.7h -
18 PEP +7.92% $9,218 $9,948 79 67% - +$730 -12.9% 6.3h -
19 PG +7.89% $10,169 $10,971 76 67% - +$802 -7.0% 6.1h -
20 SLB +7.37% $9,214 $9,893 75 67% - +$679 -18.4% 6.7h -
21 BRK-B +7.06% $11,119 $11,904 80 65% - +$785 -4.6% 6.3h -
22 AMZN +6.87% $10,223 $10,925 82 61% - +$702 -15.2% 5.8h -
23 CRM +6.69% $9,707 $10,356 80 61% - +$649 -9.2% 8.0h -
24 XLK +6.64% $10,352 $11,040 85 65% - +$687 -11.6% 6.8h -
25 VRTX +6.41% $11,046 $11,754 78 60% - +$708 -5.5% 5.3h -
26 DIS +6.34% $8,741 $9,295 85 58% - +$554 -21.3% 6.2h -
27 CVX +5.59% $10,723 $11,323 86 65% - +$599 -5.5% 6.1h -
28 GOOGL +5.02% $10,633 $11,167 75 57% - +$534 -9.9% 5.7h -
29 REGN +4.73% $10,396 $10,888 77 62% - +$492 -13.4% 6.7h -
30 VOO +4.31% $10,509 $10,962 80 69% - +$453 -5.6% 5.6h -
31 XLE +3.97% $9,441 $9,816 82 57% - +$375 -13.3% 5.3h -
32 RBLX +3.47% $12,075 $12,494 84 62% - +$419 -18.1% 7.7h -
33 GS +3.32% $13,256 $13,697 80 65% - +$440 -3.9% 6.1h -
34 SCHW +2.78% $12,420 $12,766 83 57% - +$345 -7.0% 5.7h -
35 SPY +2.75% $10,307 $10,591 78 68% - +$283 -7.1% 5.9h -
36 VTI +2.70% $9,693 $9,955 81 65% - +$262 -8.8% 6.0h -
37 ACN +2.48% $8,742 $8,959 81 63% - +$217 -15.0% 6.8h -
38 AXP +2.31% $10,839 $11,090 79 61% - +$250 -12.7% 4.9h -
39 AAPL +2.29% $10,979 $11,230 76 61% - +$251 -13.3% 6.8h -
40 PLTR +2.28% $18,621 $19,046 82 65% - +$425 -11.2% 4.9h -
41 SPXU +2.08% $10,391 $10,607 44 55% - +$216 -19.1% 10.6h -
42 META +2.07% $12,180 $12,432 84 57% - +$252 -5.9% 5.3h -
43 MCD +2.03% $11,968 $12,211 77 52% - +$243 -4.1% 5.4h -
44 WMT +2.02% $11,378 $11,608 75 61% - +$230 -4.5% 6.2h -
45 GLD +1.97% $9,625 $9,814 80 61% - +$190 -7.6% 5.1h -
46 IBM +1.62% $10,246 $10,412 80 56% - +$166 -9.2% 4.7h -
47 SQQQ +1.61% $6,049 $6,146 77 64% - +$97 -42.9% 6.3h -
48 MARA +1.59% $11,345 $11,525 81 60% - +$180 -29.5% 6.1h -
49 ARKK +1.20% $10,783 $10,913 79 65% - +$129 -16.4% 6.2h -
50 BLK +1.17% $13,443 $13,601 79 65% - +$157 -4.0% 4.8h -
51 MS +0.69% $10,800 $10,874 82 60% - +$75 -9.7% 6.1h -
52 AMGN +0.67% $10,866 $10,938 77 57% - +$73 -10.0% 4.5h -
53 MA +0.64% $10,472 $10,539 78 62% - +$67 -5.8% 7.6h -
54 KO +0.30% $10,443 $10,474 71 55% - +$31 -6.2% 5.8h -
55 XOM +0.28% $10,812 $10,843 81 69% - +$30 -9.1% 5.5h -
56 TMO +0.09% $9,897 $9,906 80 54% - +$9 -13.7% 5.2h -
57 PEPEUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
58 SHIBUSD +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
59 NVDA -0.44% $14,471 $14,407 80 58% - -$64 -11.5% 4.4h -
60 HD -0.61% $10,704 $10,638 76 51% - -$65 -5.1% 3.8h -
61 MDT -0.71% $9,057 $8,993 76 59% - -$64 -13.7% 4.9h -
62 PFE -0.71% $10,050 $9,978 77 62% - -$71 -11.8% 6.2h -
63 CMCSA -0.77% $9,274 $9,203 82 62% - -$71 -19.7% 6.3h -
64 CRWD -1.08% $14,486 $14,329 82 59% - -$156 -12.6% 6.7h -
65 QQQ -1.11% $10,733 $10,614 81 58% - -$119 -4.4% 6.1h -
66 LLY -1.12% $8,625 $8,528 75 64% - -$97 -24.9% 5.9h -
67 COP -1.31% $9,763 $9,635 79 61% - -$128 -18.3% 5.6h -
68 NFLX -1.37% $11,110 $10,958 82 60% - -$152 -13.7% 6.8h -
69 V -1.42% $10,567 $10,417 83 64% - -$150 -5.0% 6.8h -
70 TLT -1.56% $10,300 $10,140 80 58% - -$161 -6.8% 5.3h -
71 CSCO -1.87% $9,889 $9,705 80 58% - -$185 -10.7% 7.5h -
72 C -2.03% $11,875 $11,634 78 47% - -$241 -6.0% 5.3h -
73 PANW -2.41% $9,276 $9,052 81 56% - -$224 -24.6% 6.9h -
74 USO -2.83% $11,712 $11,381 77 55% - -$331 -11.5% 5.6h -
75 IWM -2.84% $9,548 $9,277 76 57% - -$271 -14.5% 7.0h -
76 DIA -2.89% $9,612 $9,334 74 53% - -$278 -11.0% 5.4h -
77 TQQQ -3.09% $10,591 $10,264 81 58% - -$327 -17.9% 5.9h -
78 COIN -3.42% $10,142 $9,795 74 51% - -$347 -42.7% 6.1h -
79 OXY -3.42% $8,874 $8,570 76 55% - -$303 -17.0% 6.1h -
80 SNOW -3.68% $12,285 $11,833 80 56% - -$452 -17.7% 6.3h -
81 MSFT -4.14% $9,960 $9,547 84 56% - -$412 -10.0% 4.8h -
82 AMC -4.71% $18,050 $17,200 83 59% - -$850 -18.6% 5.2h -
83 XLF -4.94% $11,274 $10,717 78 54% - -$557 -5.4% 6.9h -
84 DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION -5.07% $10,096 $9,584 36 36% $1,821 -$512 -99.1% 1.0h 5 Feb 6, 2026
22d left
85 BAC -5.14% $10,515 $9,975 79 48% - -$540 -7.2% 6.8h -
86 COST -5.69% $11,258 $10,618 80 56% - -$641 -7.2% 5.7h -
87 VZ -6.37% $10,355 $9,696 75 53% - -$660 -12.7% 5.7h -
88 VXX -6.38% $12,137 $11,363 78 63% - -$774 -19.3% 6.2h -
89 ADBE -6.76% $9,217 $8,594 80 56% - -$623 -18.6% 6.8h -
90 RIOT -6.86% $10,153 $9,457 73 51% - -$697 -50.0% 7.1h -
91 GME -6.98% $7,849 $7,301 84 51% - -$548 -44.4% 6.8h -
92 UVXY -7.96% $9,654 $8,886 77 65% - -$768 -33.5% 6.8h -
93 PM -7.97% $11,420 $10,510 78 51% - -$910 -10.7% 5.3h -
94 JPM -8.19% $12,032 $11,046 74 50% - -$985 -7.6% 5.9h -
95 ORCL -8.26% $9,693 $8,892 80 51% - -$801 -27.9% 6.9h -
96 ABBV -9.04% $9,917 $9,021 77 66% - -$897 -17.6% 6.6h -
97 DKNG -9.82% $13,227 $11,928 79 57% - -$1,299 -14.0% 5.1h -
98 RIVN -9.89% $8,183 $7,374 77 53% - -$809 -32.4% 7.7h -
99 NIO -9.92% $10,063 $9,065 75 49% - -$998 -30.0% 6.6h -
100 WFC -10.57% $10,653 $9,527 77 62% - -$1,126 -15.9% 6.5h -
101 LCID -11.80% $11,060 $9,755 80 63% - -$1,305 -30.7% 5.2h -
102 PYPL -15.27% $11,386 $9,648 74 55% - -$1,739 -17.7% 6.3h -
103 SOFI -15.61% $11,701 $9,875 82 55% - -$1,827 -26.0% 5.5h -
104 HOOD -21.17% $16,043 $12,647 80 49% - -$3,396 -26.1% 6.6h -
105 MRNA -30.11% $9,034 $6,314 76 51% - -$2,720 -31.7% 6.1h -
106 AVAXUSD 🚫 PROBATION -43.61% $10,100 $5,695 119 26% $4,329 -$4,404 -99.0% 1.1h 5 Jan 25, 2026
10d left
107 ETHUSD 🚫 PROBATION -48.11% $10,100 $5,241 150 26% $5,306 -$4,859 -99.0% 1.0h 5 Jan 22, 2026
7d left
108 DOGEUSD -57.14% $9,110 $3,905 182 51% $6,953 -$5,206 -150.9% 4.0h 1 Jul 30, 2025
109 LINKUSD -89.97% $10,102 $1,013 475 19% $9,508 -$9,089 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Nov 25, 2025
110 UNIUSD -94.30% $10,093 $575 575 30% $8,736 -$9,518 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Nov 11, 2025
111 BTCUSD -94.94% $10,096 $511 652 12% $10,316 -$9,585 -99.0% 1.0h 4 Oct 30, 2025
112 LTCUSD -96.44% $10,100 $360 740 23% $12,747 -$9,741 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 10, 2025
113 SOLUSD -96.88% $10,113 $316 659 19% $8,456 -$9,798 -99.1% 1.0h 4 Oct 27, 2025
114 XRPUSD -98.34% $10,114 $168 899 20% $11,772 -$9,947 -99.0% 1.2h 3 Sep 14, 2025

👤 Personality

Speaks in equations. Finds human behavior predictable and slightly disappointing. Gets genuinely excited about standard deviations.