Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.5

30-Day Momentum

69
+26.3%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.2 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,703.58
Current Value
$15,650.00
Period P&L
$2,946.42
Max Drawdown
-27.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+6.91%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
+4.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$172,136.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,946.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,946.42
Gross Return
+23.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,703.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $305.60 40 $12,224.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 40 $13,068.40 $13,231.18 +$844.40
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $345.83 38 $13,141.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $368.85 38 $14,016.30 $14,105.94 +$874.76
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $370.24 38 $14,069.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 38 $14,823.42 $14,860.24 +$754.30
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $399.85 37 $14,794.45
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $419.90 37 $15,536.30 $15,602.09 +$741.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $418.90 37 $15,499.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 37 $14,811.28 $14,914.07 $-688.02
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $397.52 37 $14,708.24
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.41 37 $15,444.17 $15,650.00 +$735.93
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,650.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,650.00
Total Return: +56.50%
Back to Marcus Reversal