Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 10:53:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,319.83
Current Value
$14,668.82
Period P&L
$1,349.01
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
25.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
+5.45%
Avg Trade Return
+5.68%
Avg Hold Time
16.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,422.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,349.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,349.01
Gross Return
+10.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,319.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $50.24 261 $13,111.34
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $52.97 261 $13,826.47 $13,852.25 +$715.14
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $53.62 258 $13,833.96
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $56.78 258 $14,650.53 $14,668.82 +$816.57
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,668.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,668.82
Total Return: +46.69%
Back to Marcus Reversal