Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.97%
Last Month Return
$15,627.08
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$16,980.81
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.9/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 38.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,980.81
Current Value
$15,627.08
Period P&L
$-1,353.71
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-1.51%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$124,465.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,353.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,353.71
Gross Return
-7.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,980.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $195.50 85 $16,617.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $188.88 85 $16,054.80 $16,085.32 $-562.70
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $195.08 82 $15,996.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $188.32 82 $15,442.24 $15,531.01 $-554.31
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $189.79 81 $15,372.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $181.86 81 $14,730.66 $14,888.68 $-642.33
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET $184.45 80 $14,756.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $193.68 80 $15,494.40 $15,627.08 +$738.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,627.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,627.08
Total Return: +56.27%
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