Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ETHUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ETHUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 18 trades in period

-40.71%
Last Month Return
$237.59
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$230.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 18:55:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-20.8%
30d Return
24%
Win Rate
17
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,204
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$230.83
Current Value
$237.59
Period P&L
$-93.97
Max Drawdown
-98.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
4 / 14
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-4.51%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$9,332.96
Estimated Fees
$23.33
Gross P&L
$-93.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-117.30
Gross Return
-40.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-50.82%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $230.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 6:05pm ET $2,116.77 0 $310.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $2,050.12 0 $300.30 $300.30 $-11.29
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $2,053.36 0 $300.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:20pm ET $1,984.25 0 $290.19 $290.19 $-11.58
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.5h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:25pm ET $1,992.94 0 $290.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $1,932.07 0 $281.33 $281.33 $-10.29
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $1,941.46 0 $281.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:20pm ET $1,882.47 0 $272.78 $272.78 $-9.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:05pm ET $1,860.65 0 $272.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,801.11 0 $264.05 $264.05 $-10.07
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $1,800.35 0 $264.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $1,719.08 0 $252.13 $252.13 $-13.21
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $1,736.07 0 $252.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $1,682.90 0 $244.41 $244.41 $-8.96
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET $1,674.48 0 $244.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $1,613.92 0 $235.57 $235.57 $-10.04
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $1,606.18 0 $235.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,550.71 0 $227.43 $227.43 $-9.29
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,553.00 0 $227.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 4:55am ET $1,633.94 0 $239.28 $239.28 +$10.69
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:20am ET $1,629.82 0 $239.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 5:10pm ET $1,713.29 0 $251.53 $251.53 +$11.03
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,690.70 0 $251.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:30am ET $1,638.20 0 $243.72 $243.72 $-9.05
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET $1,642.42 0 $243.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1,727.32 0 $256.32 $256.32 +$11.35
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $1,711.92 0 $256.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:20am ET $1,809.11 0 $270.87 $270.87 +$13.23
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,825.24 0 $270.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:35pm ET $1,770.02 0 $262.68 $262.68 $-9.53
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:40pm ET $1,773.77 0 $262.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $1,717.94 0 $254.41 $254.41 $-9.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $1,709.51 0 $254.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 4:20am ET $1,650.64 0 $245.65 $245.65 $-10.01
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 4:25am ET $1,642.28 0 $245.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,588.38 0 $237.59 $237.59 $-9.27
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $237.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,762.41
Total Return: -97.62%
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