Compendium › Marcus Reversal › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-4.28%
Last Month Return
$12,926.07
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$13,504.23
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,504.23
Current Value
$12,926.07
Period P&L
$-578.15
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,902.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-578.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-578.15
Gross Return
-4.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,504.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.03 96 $13,058.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $142.91 96 $13,719.84 $13,833.98 +$660.96
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $139.34 99 $13,794.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 99 $13,291.25 $13,330.57 $-503.41
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $132.21 100 $13,221.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET $128.16 100 $12,816.50 $12,926.07 $-404.50
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,926.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,926.07
Total Return: +29.26%
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