Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-22 22:24:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.4/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 56.8/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 53.0

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.5 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,664.42
Current Value
$21,371.33
Period P&L
$-293.08
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-3.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$205,235.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-293.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-293.08
Gross Return
-1.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $21,664.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:00am ET $976.56 21 $20,507.76
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $1,025.67 21 $21,539.07 $22,293.99 +$1,031.31
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,067.99 20 $21,359.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:20am ET $1,033.40 20 $20,668.00 $21,602.19 $-691.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $1,082.34 19 $20,564.46
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,049.40 19 $19,938.60 $20,976.33 $-625.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,050.47 19 $19,958.93
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $1,016.65 19 $19,316.43 $20,333.83 $-642.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET $1,008.64 20 $20,172.70
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $1,060.51 20 $21,210.20 $21,371.33 +$1,037.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,371.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,371.33
Total Return: +113.71%
Back to Marcus Reversal