Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-14.05%
Last Month Return
$9,112.94
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$10,602.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 10:30:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,573
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,602.74
Current Value
$9,112.94
Period P&L
$-1,489.78
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-17.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.04%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-3.24%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,215.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,489.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,489.78
Gross Return
-14.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,602.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $431.40 24 $10,353.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $416.80 24 $10,003.08 $10,021.07 $-350.52
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $421.17 23 $9,686.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 23 $9,351.00 $9,685.15 $-335.92
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $416.29 23 $9,574.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $403.65 23 $9,283.95 $9,394.43 $-290.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $414.63 22 $9,121.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $401.83 22 $8,840.26 $9,112.94 $-281.49
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,112.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-887.06
Total Return: -8.87%
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