Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 15.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-14.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,457.93
Current Value
$11,333.43
Period P&L
$-2,124.47
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+5.82%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
-1.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,340.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,124.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,124.47
Gross Return
-15.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,457.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET $9.58 1,383 $13,249.14
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $9.29 1,383 $12,848.07 $12,856.29 $-401.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $8.73 1,472 $12,850.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.24 1,472 $13,597.90 $13,603.63 +$747.34
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $8.74 1,556 $13,599.44
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $8.45 1,556 $13,151.31 $13,155.50 $-448.13
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $8.78 1,497 $13,151.14
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $8.52 1,497 $12,746.96 $12,751.31 $-404.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $7.98 1,597 $12,744.22
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $7.71 1,597 $12,312.87 $12,319.96 $-431.35
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $7.68 1,604 $12,318.72
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $7.40 1,604 $11,869.76 $11,871.00 $-448.96
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.87 1,727 $11,864.49
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $7.24 1,727 $12,494.85 $12,501.36 +$630.36
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $6.93 1,802 $12,496.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $6.66 1,802 $12,000.78 $12,005.27 $-496.09
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.33 1,896 $12,001.49
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $6.07 1,896 $11,507.20 $11,510.98 $-494.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $5.95 1,933 $11,506.18
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $5.76 1,933 $11,134.08 $11,138.88 $-372.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $6.07 1,833 $11,135.47
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $6.39 1,833 $11,712.69 $11,716.09 +$577.21
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $6.59 1,779 $11,714.72
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $6.37 1,779 $11,332.05 $11,333.43 $-382.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,333.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,333.43
Total Return: +13.33%
Back to Marcus Reversal