Compendium › Marcus Reversal › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+3.66%
Last Month Return
$12,560.73
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,117.04
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

20
+4.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,117.04
Current Value
$12,560.73
Period P&L
$443.68
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.16%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,916.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$443.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$443.68
Gross Return
+3.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,117.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $491.76 24 $11,802.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET $516.45 24 $12,394.68 $12,649.49 +$592.44
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $523.16 24 $12,555.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $507.02 24 $12,168.36 $12,262.01 $-387.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $499.97 24 $11,999.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $528.50 24 $12,684.00 $12,946.73 +$684.72
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $513.96 25 $12,849.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $498.52 25 $12,463.00 $12,560.73 $-386.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,560.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,560.73
Total Return: +25.61%
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