Compendium › Marcus Reversal › MA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.08%
Last Month Return
$12,406.10
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,415.70
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:09:21

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 28.2/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,415.70
Current Value
$12,406.10
Period P&L
$-9.60
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
15.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,577.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9.60
Gross Return
-0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,415.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 25 $12,509.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:45am ET $484.77 25 $12,119.37 $12,170.85 $-389.88
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
28d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $475.55 25 $11,888.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $499.94 25 $12,498.50 $12,780.60 +$609.75
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $498.73 25 $12,468.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $483.75 25 $12,093.75 $12,406.10 $-374.50
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,406.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,406.10
Total Return: +24.06%
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