Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

7
-25.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,880.97
Current Value
$3,618.04
Period P&L
$-1,262.93
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-13.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
0 / 9
Best Trade
-3.00%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
-3.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,974.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,262.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,262.93
Gross Return
-25.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,880.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.83 552 $4,874.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $8.56 552 $4,727.88 $4,734.75 $-146.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $9.60 493 $4,730.34
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 493 $4,587.37 $4,591.78 $-142.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $10.73 428 $4,590.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 428 $4,438.40 $4,439.88 $-151.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 378 $4,435.94
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 378 $4,272.80 $4,276.74 $-163.14
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 373 $4,272.71
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.10 373 $4,139.96 $4,143.99 $-132.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.81 350 $4,135.25
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 350 $3,995.25 $4,003.99 $-140.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 358 $4,002.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 358 $3,855.66 $3,857.25 $-146.74
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 359 $3,850.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 359 $3,729.97 $3,736.95 $-120.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 314 $3,727.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $11.49 314 $3,608.30 $3,618.04 $-118.91
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,618.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,381.96
Total Return: -63.82%
Back to Marcus Reversal