Compendium › Marcus Reversal › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 2 trades in period

-1.39%
Last Month Return
$10,191.24
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,335.06
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 19:57:39

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
3.9/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,335.06
Current Value
$10,191.24
Period P&L
$-143.82
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
19.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$40,445.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-143.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-143.82
Gross Return
-1.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,335.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $276.43 36 $9,951.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $285.27 36 $10,269.54 $10,528.56 +$318.06
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $285.58 36 $10,280.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $276.21 36 $9,943.56 $10,191.24 $-337.32
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,191.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$191.24
Total Return: +1.91%
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