Compendium › Marcus Reversal › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 3 trades in period

+2.58%
Last Month Return
$15,471.34
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$15,081.57
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 29.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

12
+1.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,746
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,081.57
Current Value
$15,471.34
Period P&L
$389.78
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-8.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,127.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$389.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$389.78
Gross Return
+2.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,081.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $575.03 26 $14,950.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $606.00 26 $15,756.00 $16,037.45 +$805.09
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $632.77 25 $15,819.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET $664.47 25 $16,611.63 $16,829.83 +$792.38
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $673.93 24 $16,174.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $617.33 24 $14,815.83 $15,471.34 $-1,358.49
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,471.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,471.34
Total Return: +54.71%
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