Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

17
+3.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,603.82
Current Value
$8,918.74
Period P&L
$314.86
Max Drawdown
-73.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+6.98%
Worst Trade
-4.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,219.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$314.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$314.86
Gross Return
+3.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,603.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $48.60 177 $8,602.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 177 $9,202.23 $9,203.91 +$600.03
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $50.98 180 $9,176.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 180 $9,676.80 $9,704.31 +$500.40
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $53.10 182 $9,664.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $56.15 182 $10,219.76 $10,259.87 +$555.56
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET $54.60 187 $10,210.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $52.84 187 $9,881.08 $9,930.75 $-329.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET $50.02 198 $9,903.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.51 198 $9,604.98 $9,631.77 $-298.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.53 207 $9,631.71
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $44.92 207 $9,299.47 $9,299.54 $-332.23
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.02 197 $9,263.53
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $45.09 197 $8,882.73 $8,918.74 $-380.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,918.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,081.26
Total Return: -10.81%
Back to Marcus Reversal