Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 68.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.8

30-Day Momentum

87
+48.6%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
4.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$30,645.82
Current Value
$45,544.81
Period P&L
$14,899.02
Max Drawdown
-27.8%
Sharpe Ratio
1.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+10.62%
Worst Trade
-3.84%
Avg Trade Return
+4.16%
Avg Hold Time
23.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$774,141.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,899.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,899.02
Gross Return
+48.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $30,645.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $374.42 81 $30,328.03
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 81 $33,548.98 $33,866.75 +$3,220.96
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:45am ET $401.04 84 $33,686.94
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $423.13 84 $35,542.50 $35,722.31 +$1,855.56
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $416.43 85 $35,396.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $437.65 85 $37,200.25 $37,526.01 +$1,803.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET $445.49 84 $37,421.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $469.57 84 $39,443.88 $39,548.73 +$2,022.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $453.00 87 $39,411.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $438.11 87 $38,116.00 $38,253.73 $-1,295.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $442.54 86 $38,058.44
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $466.80 86 $40,144.80 $40,340.09 +$2,086.36
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $478.16 84 $40,165.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 84 $42,193.62 $42,368.27 +$2,028.18
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $522.35 81 $42,310.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 81 $40,683.87 $40,741.79 $-1,626.48
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $517.88 78 $40,394.64
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $545.55 78 $42,552.90 $42,900.05 +$2,158.26
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $573.63 74 $42,448.62
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 74 $45,093.38 $45,544.81 +$2,644.76
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $45,544.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$35,544.81
Total Return: +355.45%
Back to Marcus Reversal