Compendium › Marcus Reversal › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 5 trades in period

-12.98%
Last Month Return
$22,002.55
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$25,285.03
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.0/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-13.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$25,285.03
Current Value
$22,002.55
Period P&L
$-3,282.50
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-9.14%
Avg Trade Return
-2.64%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,632.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,282.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,282.50
Gross Return
-12.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $25,285.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $98.63 256 $25,248.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.62 256 $26,527.79 $26,564.84 +$1,279.79
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $105.72 251 $26,535.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 251 $24,109.05 $24,138.17 $-2,426.67
(-9.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $96.14 251 $24,131.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $93.25 251 $23,407.00 $23,414.03 $-724.14
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $93.22 251 $23,399.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $90.39 251 $22,686.64 $22,701.19 $-712.84
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $92.04 246 $22,643.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $89.21 246 $21,944.43 $22,002.55 $-698.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,002.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,002.55
Total Return: +120.03%
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