Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,359.76
Current Value
$11,858.48
Period P&L
$498.71
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.59%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,067.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$498.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$498.71
Gross Return
+4.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,359.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $144.47 79 $11,413.13
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $139.66 79 $11,033.14 $11,039.03 $-379.99
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $135.49 81 $10,974.69
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $142.29 81 $11,525.49 $11,589.83 +$550.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $163.84 70 $11,468.80
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $172.32 70 $12,062.05 $12,183.08 +$593.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $179.60 67 $12,033.53
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $174.17 67 $11,669.42 $11,818.96 $-364.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $187.21 63 $11,794.23
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 63 $11,327.40 $11,352.13 $-466.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $171.53 66 $11,320.98
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 66 $10,720.38 $10,751.53 $-600.60
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 65 $10,631.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $171.91 65 $11,174.15 $11,294.28 +$542.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.28 62 $11,177.36
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $189.38 62 $11,741.56 $11,858.48 +$564.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,858.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,858.48
Total Return: +18.58%
Back to Marcus Reversal