Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.2/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 36.2

30-Day Momentum

4
-13.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,213.59
Current Value
$16,865.58
Period P&L
$-4,347.99
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-8.76%
Avg Trade Return
-2.70%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$294,408.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,347.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,347.99
Gross Return
-20.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $21,213.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $62.47 339 $21,177.33
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 339 $19,323.00 $19,359.24 $-1,854.33
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET $59.63 324 $19,320.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $57.68 324 $18,688.32 $18,727.44 $-631.80
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $58.24 321 $18,695.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $55.58 321 $17,842.78 $17,875.18 $-852.26
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $55.91 319 $17,835.29
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 319 $17,047.36 $17,087.25 $-787.93
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.47 313 $17,050.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $57.57 313 $18,019.41 $18,055.99 +$968.74
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.10 316 $18,043.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $60.02 316 $18,966.32 $18,978.71 +$922.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $60.11 315 $18,934.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $58.07 315 $18,292.05 $18,336.11 $-642.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $59.68 307 $18,321.76
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.89 307 $16,851.23 $16,865.58 $-1,470.53
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,865.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,865.58
Total Return: +68.66%
Back to Marcus Reversal