Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:40:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
15.9/25
Win Rate
3.6/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 36.0

30-Day Momentum

27
+7.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.0 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,872.70
Current Value
$18,170.79
Period P&L
$1,298.07
Max Drawdown
-29.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.36%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.61%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$170,305.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,298.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,298.07
Gross Return
+7.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,872.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $251.99 66 $16,631.34
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $265.49 66 $17,522.34 $17,763.72 +$891.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 61 $17,627.17
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 61 $17,019.62 $17,156.17 $-607.55
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $272.65 62 $16,904.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 62 $16,178.90 $16,430.77 $-725.40
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:30am ET $263.48 62 $16,336.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $277.21 62 $17,187.02 $17,281.72 +$850.95
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $278.77 61 $17,004.67
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $293.34 61 $17,893.74 $18,170.79 +$889.07
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,170.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,170.79
Total Return: +81.71%
Back to Marcus Reversal