Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:45:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 66.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 66.1

30-Day Momentum

6
-17.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-60 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$54,780.09
Current Value
$42,649.17
Period P&L
$-12,130.90
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.89

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
-2.38%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$890,690.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-12,130.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-12,130.90
Gross Return
-22.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $54,780.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $133.24 398 $53,031.51
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:45am ET $140.10 398 $55,759.80 $55,880.54 +$2,728.29
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $161.75 345 $55,803.75
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $155.31 345 $53,581.95 $53,658.74 $-2,221.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $147.18 364 $53,573.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $142.74 364 $51,957.36 $52,042.58 $-1,616.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $141.24 368 $51,978.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $136.96 368 $50,401.28 $50,465.70 $-1,576.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.02 371 $50,465.27
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $131.66 371 $48,845.90 $48,846.32 $-1,619.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $131.30 372 $48,843.60
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $127.03 372 $47,255.16 $47,257.88 $-1,588.44
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $134.13 352 $47,213.72
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET $129.76 352 $45,675.52 $45,719.67 $-1,538.21
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $133.20 343 $45,687.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $128.27 343 $43,998.32 $44,030.36 $-1,689.31
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $125.36 351 $43,999.61
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $121.42 351 $42,618.42 $42,649.17 $-1,381.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,649.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,649.17
Total Return: +326.49%
Back to Marcus Reversal