Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 69.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-63 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$52,691.23
Current Value
$52,002.42
Period P&L
$-688.79
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$831,709.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-688.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-688.79
Gross Return
-1.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $52,691.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $148.31 355 $52,650.09
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $143.82 355 $51,056.10 $51,097.23 $-1,593.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.52 394 $51,030.88
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $125.47 394 $49,435.18 $49,501.53 $-1,595.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.83 372 $49,412.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $139.48 372 $51,884.74 $51,973.51 +$2,471.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.44 364 $51,848.16
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $149.85 364 $54,545.40 $54,670.75 +$2,697.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $144.63 378 $54,670.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $139.86 378 $52,867.08 $52,867.69 $-1,803.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET $142.90 369 $52,730.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 369 $50,243.04 $50,380.63 $-2,487.06
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.85 362 $50,265.51
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $147.80 362 $53,503.56 $53,618.68 +$3,238.05
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 383 $53,591.28
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.71 383 $51,975.02 $52,002.42 $-1,616.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,002.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,002.42
Total Return: +420.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal