Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

29
+6.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,333.21
Current Value
$15,311.63
Period P&L
$978.44
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.20%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+2.31%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,888.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$978.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$978.44
Gross Return
+6.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,333.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.58 289 $14,330.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.17 289 $15,075.69 $15,078.81 +$745.62
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $52.52 287 $15,073.24
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 287 $14,573.86 $14,579.43 $-499.38
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 280 $14,551.60
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 280 $15,283.80 $15,311.63 +$732.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,311.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,311.63
Total Return: +53.12%
Back to Marcus Reversal