Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:49:33

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

33
+17.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.9 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,238.91
Current Value
$16,801.64
Period P&L
$1,562.76
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+32.40%
Worst Trade
-5.88%
Avg Trade Return
+2.40%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$333,980.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,562.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,562.76
Gross Return
+10.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,238.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $166.59 85 $14,160.15
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 85 $15,130.00 $15,267.36 +$969.85
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $175.90 86 $15,127.83
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 86 $20,029.40 $20,168.93 +$4,901.57
(+32.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:40am ET $249.40 80 $19,952.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $264.00 80 $21,120.00 $21,336.93 +$1,168.00
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $265.68 80 $21,254.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $256.13 80 $20,490.40 $20,572.93 $-764.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET $248.78 82 $20,399.96
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $240.04 82 $19,683.28 $19,856.25 $-716.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.32 82 $19,787.83
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $232.79 82 $19,088.37 $19,156.79 $-699.46
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $242.33 79 $19,144.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $235.02 79 $18,566.58 $18,579.30 $-577.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $236.85 78 $18,474.30
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $222.92 78 $17,387.76 $17,492.76 $-1,086.54
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $232.50 75 $17,437.50
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $223.29 75 $16,746.38 $16,801.64 $-691.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,801.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,801.64
Total Return: +68.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal