Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 25.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

28
+9.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.1 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,851.82
Current Value
$14,040.70
Period P&L
$1,188.90
Max Drawdown
-35.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+10.21%
Worst Trade
-12.04%
Avg Trade Return
+1.76%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,953.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,188.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,188.90
Gross Return
+9.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,851.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $16.07 799 $12,835.94
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 799 $14,146.29 $14,162.16 +$1,310.36
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET $15.97 886 $14,149.42
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $16.77 886 $14,858.22 $14,870.96 +$708.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $17.68 840 $14,855.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $18.58 840 $15,611.40 $15,626.96 +$756.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.05 820 $15,620.92
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $20.09 820 $16,477.90 $16,483.94 +$856.98
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $19.23 857 $16,477.28
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $18.61 857 $15,953.05 $15,959.71 $-524.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $18.74 851 $15,943.49
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 851 $14,024.48 $14,040.70 $-1,919.01
(-12.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,040.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,040.70
Total Return: +40.41%
Back to Marcus Reversal