Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:07:47

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-19.5%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,270.88
Current Value
$3,436.95
Period P&L
$-833.96
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.80

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+5.65%
Worst Trade
-6.29%
Avg Trade Return
-2.64%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$61,545.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-833.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-833.96
Gross Return
-19.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,270.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $42.01 101 $4,243.02
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 101 $4,041.07 $4,068.96 $-201.95
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.90 104 $4,045.60
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $37.69 104 $3,919.75 $3,943.11 $-125.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $37.91 104 $3,942.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $36.65 104 $3,812.12 $3,812.60 $-130.51
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $37.98 100 $3,797.61
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $40.12 100 $4,012.01 $4,027.00 +$214.40
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $41.17 97 $3,993.01
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $39.90 97 $3,870.31 $3,904.30 $-122.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $43.52 89 $3,873.29
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.16 89 $3,752.24 $3,783.25 $-121.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.75 95 $3,776.24
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.25 95 $3,538.75 $3,545.76 $-237.49
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $37.83 93 $3,518.19
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $36.66 93 $3,409.38 $3,436.95 $-108.81
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,436.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,563.05
Total Return: -65.63%
Back to Marcus Reversal