Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:02:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.1%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,899.82
Current Value
$9,106.96
Period P&L
$-792.85
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+7.32%
Worst Trade
-9.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$201,737.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-792.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-792.85
Gross Return
-8.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,899.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.51 123 $9,657.34
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $82.79 123 $10,183.17 $10,220.84 +$525.83
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $81.09 126 $10,217.34
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $85.27 126 $10,744.27 $10,747.77 +$526.93
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.44 124 $10,718.56
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $83.37 124 $10,337.88 $10,367.09 $-380.68
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $81.37 127 $10,333.99
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $78.80 127 $10,007.60 $10,040.70 $-326.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $76.86 130 $9,991.15
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.54 130 $9,560.20 $9,609.75 $-430.95
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $70.61 136 $9,602.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $74.66 136 $10,153.76 $10,160.65 +$550.90
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $77.23 131 $10,117.13
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 131 $10,857.28 $10,900.80 +$740.15
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $82.73 131 $10,837.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 131 $10,311.01 $10,374.18 $-526.62
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $82.77 125 $10,346.25
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 125 $9,370.00 $9,397.93 $-976.25
(-9.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $74.13 126 $9,340.28
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $71.82 126 $9,049.31 $9,106.96 $-290.97
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,106.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-893.04
Total Return: -8.93%
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