Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

53
+14.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,036.91
Current Value
$9,755.97
Period P&L
$1,719.07
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+2.90%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,395.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,719.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,719.07
Gross Return
+21.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,036.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $43.69 183 $7,995.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $42.33 183 $7,746.37 $7,787.98 $-248.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $47.81 162 $7,745.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.22 162 $8,134.83 $8,177.61 +$389.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $54.13 151 $8,174.38
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $56.86 151 $8,585.86 $8,589.09 +$411.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.24 147 $8,561.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $61.36 147 $9,019.92 $9,047.51 +$458.42
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.30 145 $9,033.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $59.99 145 $8,699.27 $8,713.28 $-334.23
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.71 143 $8,681.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $63.88 143 $9,134.84 $9,166.60 +$453.32
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $64.87 141 $9,146.68
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.05 141 $9,736.05 $9,755.97 +$589.37
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,755.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-244.03
Total Return: -2.44%
Back to Marcus Reversal