Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 19:16:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,411.38
Current Value
$14,929.16
Period P&L
$-1,482.26
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+6.73%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.67%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,667.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,482.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,482.26
Gross Return
-9.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,411.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $414.72 37 $15,344.54
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $442.62 37 $16,376.85 $16,787.99 +$1,032.32
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $436.70 38 $16,594.79
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:15am ET $422.20 38 $16,043.55 $16,236.75 $-551.24
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $420.90 38 $15,994.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $406.31 38 $15,439.78 $15,682.33 $-554.42
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $409.26 38 $15,551.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $396.89 38 $15,081.82 $15,212.27 $-470.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $385.61 39 $15,038.79
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.30 39 $15,806.70 $15,980.18 +$767.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $404.05 39 $15,758.14
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $391.77 39 $15,279.03 $15,501.06 $-479.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $406.96 38 $15,464.48
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $391.91 38 $14,892.58 $14,929.16 $-571.90
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,929.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,929.16
Total Return: +49.29%
Back to Marcus Reversal