Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.0

30-Day Momentum

12
-5.1%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,029.35
Current Value
$13,811.73
Period P&L
$-1,217.63
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-15.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,765.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,217.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,217.63
Gross Return
-8.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,029.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $134.01 108 $14,473.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $140.81 108 $15,207.49 $15,291.86 +$734.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $140.29 108 $15,151.86
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 108 $12,874.25 $13,014.25 $-2,277.61
(-15.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $126.13 103 $12,991.39
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 103 $13,725.90 $13,748.76 +$734.51
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET $126.80 108 $13,694.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $122.80 108 $13,262.40 $13,316.76 $-432.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $127.03 104 $13,211.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 104 $11,944.79 $12,050.04 $-1,266.72
(-9.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $121.55 99 $12,033.45
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $128.00 99 $12,672.00 $12,688.59 +$638.55
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $130.51 97 $12,659.47
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $137.15 97 $13,303.55 $13,332.67 +$644.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $130.04 102 $13,264.08
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 102 $14,211.65 $14,280.24 +$947.57
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $147.18 97 $14,276.46
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $142.35 97 $13,807.95 $13,811.73 $-468.51
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,811.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,811.73
Total Return: +38.12%
Back to Marcus Reversal