Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:13:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-22.7%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,737
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,921.69
Current Value
$13,845.63
Period P&L
$-4,076.07
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
-2.67%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,895.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,076.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,076.07
Gross Return
-22.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,921.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.35 355 $17,874.25
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $48.71 355 $17,292.05 $17,339.50 $-582.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.17 338 $17,295.46
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 338 $14,687.79 $14,731.83 $-2,607.67
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $43.81 336 $14,720.19
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $42.35 336 $14,228.42 $14,240.06 $-491.77
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $41.01 347 $14,230.44
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.72 347 $13,782.84 $13,792.47 $-447.59
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $38.52 358 $13,790.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $37.34 358 $13,367.76 $13,370.07 $-422.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $38.99 342 $13,334.58
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $40.96 342 $14,008.35 $14,043.84 +$673.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $38.81 361 $14,010.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.63 361 $13,584.43 $13,617.86 $-425.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $37.37 364 $13,602.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $36.07 364 $13,129.48 $13,144.66 $-473.20
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:05am ET $35.77 367 $13,127.59
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 367 $13,828.56 $13,845.63 +$700.97
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,845.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,845.63
Total Return: +38.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal