Compendium › Marcus Reversal › V
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
V
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+7.07%
Last Month Return
$12,265.99
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,455.83
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:22:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

41
+11.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.9 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,455.83
Current Value
$12,265.99
Period P&L
$810.15
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+2.05%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$94,874.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$810.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$810.15
Gross Return
+7.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,455.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $298.83 38 $11,355.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $314.08 38 $11,935.04 $11,965.42 +$579.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $316.71 37 $11,718.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $306.92 37 $11,355.86 $11,602.82 $-362.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $306.29 37 $11,332.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 37 $12,384.64 $12,654.73 +$1,051.91
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 38 $12,590.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $321.11 38 $12,201.99 $12,265.99 $-388.74
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,265.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,265.99
Total Return: +22.66%
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