Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.64%
Last Month Return
$12,107.81
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,247.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:12:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 19.1/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,247.98
Current Value
$12,107.81
Period P&L
$859.84
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-3.00%
Avg Trade Return
+2.47%
Avg Hold Time
10.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,533.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$859.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$859.84
Gross Return
+7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,247.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $439.17 25 $10,979.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $425.99 25 $10,649.75 $10,966.97 $-329.50
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $440.39 24 $10,569.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $462.93 24 $11,110.32 $11,507.81 +$540.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $452.49 25 $11,312.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $476.49 25 $11,912.25 $12,107.81 +$600.00
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,107.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,107.81
Total Return: +21.08%
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