Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 2 trades in period

-3.70%
Last Month Return
$11,084.86
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$11,510.71
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 15.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,510.71
Current Value
$11,084.86
Period P&L
$-425.84
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-723.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-3.03%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
-3.04%
Avg Hold Time
12.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$44,619.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-425.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-425.84
Gross Return
-3.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,510.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $448.39 26 $11,658.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $434.79 26 $11,304.60 $11,419.23 $-353.54
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $439.83 25 $10,995.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $426.45 25 $10,661.25 $11,084.86 $-334.38
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,084.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,084.86
Total Return: +10.85%
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