Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VZ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VZ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.59%
Last Month Return
$11,923.84
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,853.48
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 19.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,853.48
Current Value
$11,923.84
Period P&L
$70.35
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.03%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,123.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$70.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$70.35
Gross Return
+0.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,853.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.26 240 $12,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 240 $11,698.80 $11,746.69 $-363.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $47.37 248 $11,746.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.78 248 $11,353.44 $11,353.61 $-393.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $44.67 254 $11,346.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $46.92 254 $11,916.41 $11,923.84 +$570.23
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,923.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,923.84
Total Return: +19.24%
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