Compendium › Marcus Reversal › WFC
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WFC
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.47%
Last Month Return
$11,733.51
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$11,678.09
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 18.5

30-Day Momentum

21
+5.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.4 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,678.09
Current Value
$11,733.51
Period P&L
$55.39
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+1.79%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,855.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$55.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$55.39
Gross Return
+0.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,678.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.77 143 $11,121.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $81.71 143 $11,683.82 $11,724.60 +$562.71
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.41 144 $11,723.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $85.49 144 $12,310.11 $12,311.67 +$587.07
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $85.40 144 $12,297.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 144 $11,719.44 $11,733.51 $-578.16
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,733.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,733.51
Total Return: +17.34%
Back to Marcus Reversal