Compendium › Marcus Reversal › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 2 trades in period

+1.71%
Last Month Return
$17,554.13
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$17,259.34
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:43:00

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 45.6/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,259.34
Current Value
$17,554.13
Period P&L
$294.80
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+5.08%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$68,095.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$294.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$294.80
Gross Return
+1.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,259.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $120.67 143 $17,255.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $116.82 143 $16,705.26 $16,708.78 $-550.55
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $114.79 145 $16,644.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $120.62 145 $17,489.90 $17,554.13 +$845.35
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,554.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,554.13
Total Return: +75.54%
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