Compendium › Marcus Reversal › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-14.69%
Last Month Return
$11,283.94
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$13,227.40
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 19:59:39

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-12.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,227.40
Current Value
$11,283.94
Period P&L
$-1,943.46
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-3.89

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.03%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
-3.92%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$96,997.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,943.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,943.46
Gross Return
-14.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,227.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $153.28 86 $13,182.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 86 $12,658.34 $12,715.70 $-523.74
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.70 86 $12,702.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.51 86 $11,997.43 $12,010.93 $-704.77
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $140.82 85 $11,969.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $136.55 85 $11,606.96 $11,648.19 $-362.74
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.03 83 $11,622.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $135.64 83 $11,258.24 $11,283.94 $-364.25
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,283.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,283.94
Total Return: +12.84%
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