Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

34
+10.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$260.97
Current Value
$327.70
Period P&L
$17.29
Max Drawdown
-96.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-3.76%
Avg Trade Return
+1.49%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$4,431.85
Estimated Fees
$11.08
Gross P&L
$17.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$6.21
Gross Return
+6.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.38%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $260.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 4:00pm ET $1.32 226 $297.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:25pm ET $1.38 226 $312.51 $312.51 +$13.82
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:35pm ET $1.36 229 $312.51
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $1.32 229 $303.03 $303.03 $-11.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 5:30pm ET $1.35 224 $303.03
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 8:15am ET $1.42 224 $318.20 $318.20 +$13.62
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $1.40 228 $318.20
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $1.47 228 $334.22 $334.22 +$14.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $1.45 231 $334.22
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET $1.40 231 $323.86 $323.86 $-12.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:15pm ET $1.40 231 $323.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $1.35 231 $311.68 $311.68 $-13.77
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.35 231 $311.68
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:20am ET $1.42 231 $327.70 $327.70 +$14.42
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $327.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,672.30
Total Return: -96.72%
Back to Marcus Reversal