Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:12:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,375
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
255 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,632.43
Current Value
$4,554.07
Period P&L
$-3,078.34
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
10 / 28
Best Trade
+6.27%
Worst Trade
-10.07%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,463.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,078.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,078.34
Gross Return
-40.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-40.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 255 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,632.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $307.59 25 $7,689.75
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $322.98 25 $8,074.50 $8,120.67 +$384.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $320.75 25 $8,018.75
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:30am ET $311.06 25 $7,776.50 $7,878.42 $-242.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $319.24 24 $7,661.64
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $309.42 24 $7,426.08 $7,642.86 $-235.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:15pm ET $314.94 24 $7,558.56
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $283.24 24 $6,797.76 $6,882.06 $-760.80
(-10.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $289.38 23 $6,655.74
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:20pm ET $304.11 23 $6,994.42 $7,220.73 +$338.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $304.29 23 $6,998.76
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 12:50pm ET $294.90 23 $6,782.59 $7,004.56 $-216.17
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 3:25pm ET $288.84 24 $6,932.04
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $278.17 24 $6,676.08 $6,748.60 $-255.96
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 9:45am ET $277.93 24 $6,670.32
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:20pm ET $269.21 24 $6,461.04 $6,539.32 $-209.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 1:20pm ET $256.98 25 $6,424.50
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:55am ET $248.90 25 $6,222.50 $6,337.32 $-202.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 11:25am ET $245.28 25 $6,132.00
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $237.70 25 $5,942.50 $6,147.82 $-189.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $238.74 25 $5,968.50
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 10:15am ET $250.78 25 $6,269.50 $6,448.82 +$301.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 11:40am ET $253.19 25 $6,329.75
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:25am ET $245.12 25 $6,128.00 $6,247.07 $-201.75
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:35am ET $242.67 25 $6,066.75
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $234.91 25 $5,872.63 $6,052.95 $-194.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:15am ET $237.29 25 $5,932.25
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $229.87 25 $5,746.75 $5,867.45 $-185.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $239.15 24 $5,739.60
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:50am ET $251.39 24 $6,033.36 $6,161.21 +$293.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:25am ET $242.27 25 $6,056.75
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $234.66 25 $5,866.50 $5,970.96 $-190.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:50pm ET $242.82 24 $5,827.56
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $255.29 24 $6,126.96 $6,270.36 +$299.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 2:30pm ET $250.17 25 $6,254.25
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:35pm ET $242.60 25 $6,065.00 $6,081.11 $-189.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $245.44 24 $5,890.56
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $238.04 24 $5,712.91 $5,903.46 $-177.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:30pm ET $241.70 24 $5,800.78
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $254.23 24 $6,101.46 $6,204.14 +$300.68
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET $271.23 22 $5,966.95
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $262.26 22 $5,769.72 $6,006.91 $-197.23
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $264.77 22 $5,825.04
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $281.37 22 $6,190.05 $6,371.92 +$365.02
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $284.57 22 $6,260.54
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $275.73 22 $6,066.12 $6,177.50 $-194.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $288.29 21 $6,054.18
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $279.64 21 $5,872.34 $5,995.65 $-181.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $279.85 21 $5,876.91
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $271.24 21 $5,696.04 $5,814.78 $-180.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $259.41 22 $5,706.91
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 22 $5,507.26 $5,615.13 $-199.65
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.87 24 $5,612.88
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $237.26 24 $5,694.36 $5,696.60 +$81.48
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $238.02 23 $5,474.46
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $230.40 23 $5,299.31 $5,521.45 $-175.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $219.11 25 $5,477.75
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $211.90 25 $5,297.50 $5,341.20 $-180.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET $214.25 24 $5,142.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET $207.59 24 $4,982.16 $5,181.36 $-159.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:40am ET $200.65 25 $5,016.25
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $193.24 25 $4,830.88 $4,995.99 $-185.37
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $202.91 24 $4,869.84
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $213.19 24 $5,116.56 $5,242.71 +$246.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.99 24 $5,135.88
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $207.48 24 $4,979.52 $5,086.35 $-156.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $200.85 25 $5,021.25
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $194.73 25 $4,868.25 $4,933.35 $-153.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:10am ET $200.70 24 $4,816.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 24 $4,657.32 $4,773.87 $-159.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $191.62 24 $4,598.88
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $184.60 24 $4,430.40 $4,605.39 $-168.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $182.11 25 $4,552.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.71 25 $4,792.75 $4,845.39 +$240.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $192.18 25 $4,804.38
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 25 $4,513.05 $4,554.07 $-291.32
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,554.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,445.93
Total Return: -54.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal