Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 26 trades in period

-0.89%
Last Year Return
$9,018.44
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,099.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:22:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-12.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,099.77
Current Value
$9,018.44
Period P&L
$-81.32
Max Drawdown
-28.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+5.50%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$484,560.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-81.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-81.32
Gross Return
-0.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,099.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $283.42 32 $9,069.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $274.16 32 $8,773.27 $8,994.56 $-296.01
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 2:10pm ET $273.76 32 $8,760.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:35am ET $265.37 32 $8,491.84 $8,726.11 $-268.45
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 2:10pm ET $269.17 32 $8,613.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:35am ET $282.67 32 $9,045.44 $9,158.27 +$432.16
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:55am ET $285.32 32 $9,130.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET $275.64 32 $8,820.63 $8,848.66 $-309.61
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $274.58 32 $8,786.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:00am ET $288.39 32 $9,228.48 $9,290.58 +$441.92
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:40pm ET $295.93 31 $9,173.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 12:40pm ET $296.19 31 $9,181.74 $9,298.48 +$7.90
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $297.93 31 $9,235.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $287.70 31 $8,918.69 $8,981.50 $-316.98
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:40am ET $283.46 31 $8,787.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:45am ET $297.70 31 $9,228.55 $9,422.78 +$441.29
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 11:40am ET $293.97 32 $9,407.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 11:00am ET $285.00 32 $9,120.00 $9,135.74 $-287.04
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 12:05pm ET $286.79 31 $8,890.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $277.47 31 $8,601.42 $8,846.82 $-288.92
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 3:35pm ET $279.97 31 $8,679.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 12:45pm ET $271.57 31 $8,418.67 $8,586.42 $-260.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 12:10pm ET $272.38 31 $8,443.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $287.35 31 $8,907.85 $9,050.49 +$464.07
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET $297.52 30 $8,925.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET $288.26 30 $8,647.80 $8,772.69 $-277.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
24.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:00pm ET $289.89 30 $8,696.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $305.59 30 $9,167.55 $9,243.54 +$470.85
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $316.71 29 $9,184.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $332.62 29 $9,645.98 $9,704.93 +$461.39
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 12:35pm ET $337.75 28 $9,457.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $327.03 28 $9,156.70 $9,404.63 $-300.30
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:55am ET $319.00 29 $9,251.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $335.10 29 $9,717.90 $9,871.53 +$466.90
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
29d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $338.13 29 $9,805.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $327.45 29 $9,496.05 $9,561.81 $-309.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $323.53 29 $9,382.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.71 29 $9,851.59 $10,031.18 +$469.37
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $346.90 28 $9,713.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $364.48 28 $10,205.30 $10,523.28 +$492.10
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $365.79 28 $10,242.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.13 28 $10,755.64 $11,036.80 +$513.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $373.26 29 $10,824.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 29 $10,493.34 $10,705.60 $-331.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $367.05 29 $10,644.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 29 $10,298.19 $10,359.48 $-346.12
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET $350.75 29 $10,171.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 29 $9,751.25 $9,938.98 $-420.50
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $348.46 28 $9,756.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 28 $9,402.12 $9,584.22 $-354.76
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $347.56 27 $9,384.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 27 $8,818.34 $9,018.44 $-565.78
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,018.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-981.56
Total Return: -9.82%
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