AMZN Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 38 trades in period
+50.69%
Last Year Return
$19,551.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,974.45
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
47.3/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 45.7
30-Day Momentum
60
+25.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,974.45
Current Value
$19,551.28
Period P&L
$6,576.81
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
19 /
19
Best Trade
+10.45%
Worst Trade
-9.00%
Avg Trade Return
+1.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,219,338.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,576.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,576.81
Gross Return
+50.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,974.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 12:15pm ET | $189.05 | 70 | $13,233.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.80 | 70 | $14,616.00 | $14,648.89 |
+$1,382.50 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 12:50pm ET | $213.13 | 68 | $14,492.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.32 | 68 | $14,029.76 | $14,186.13 |
$-462.76 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 1:25pm ET | $204.86 | 69 | $14,135.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $215.14 | 69 | $14,844.66 | $14,895.47 |
+$709.34 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $214.47 | 69 | $14,798.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $207.69 | 69 | $14,330.61 | $14,427.65 |
$-467.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $212.28 | 67 | $14,222.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $223.21 | 67 | $14,955.07 | $15,160.29 |
+$732.65 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $219.65 | 69 | $15,156.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $231.11 | 69 | $15,946.59 | $15,950.77 |
+$790.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 1:20pm ET | $231.76 | 68 | $15,759.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $218.10 | 68 | $14,830.46 | $15,021.55 |
$-929.22 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $212.68 | 70 | $14,887.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $223.82 | 70 | $15,667.46 | $15,801.74 |
+$780.19 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 1:15pm ET | $222.49 | 71 | $15,796.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $234.34 | 71 | $16,638.10 | $16,643.06 |
+$841.31 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
26.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $232.42 | 71 | $16,501.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $225.37 | 71 | $16,001.27 | $16,142.51 |
$-500.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET | $219.86 | 73 | $16,049.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $213.20 | 73 | $15,563.60 | $15,656.69 |
$-485.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $215.93 | 72 | $15,546.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $226.92 | 72 | $16,338.35 | $16,448.17 |
+$791.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $228.78 | 71 | $16,243.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.40 | 71 | $17,565.05 | $17,769.84 |
+$1,321.67 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.23 | 71 | $17,766.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:55am ET | $242.36 | 71 | $17,207.56 | $17,211.07 |
$-558.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:55am ET | $238.89 | 72 | $17,200.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $231.64 | 72 | $16,678.08 | $16,689.07 |
$-522.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $226.54 | 73 | $16,537.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $219.10 | 73 | $15,994.31 | $16,145.95 |
$-543.11 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $223.98 | 72 | $16,126.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $216.74 | 72 | $15,605.28 | $15,624.83 |
$-521.12 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:20am ET | $225.08 | 69 | $15,530.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET | $236.41 | 69 | $16,312.36 | $16,406.67 |
+$781.84 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:30pm ET | $231.86 | 70 | $16,229.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $224.35 | 70 | $15,704.50 | $15,881.32 |
$-525.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $222.02 | 71 | $15,763.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.29 | 71 | $16,563.59 | $16,681.49 |
+$800.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $232.58 | 71 | $16,513.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $244.27 | 71 | $17,343.26 | $17,511.57 |
+$830.08 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.70 | 71 | $17,302.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $236.29 | 71 | $16,776.24 | $16,985.10 |
$-526.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $238.29 | 71 | $16,918.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $230.98 | 71 | $16,399.23 | $16,465.74 |
$-519.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $234.25 | 70 | $16,397.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.30 | 70 | $17,240.65 | $17,308.89 |
+$843.15 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $240.72 | 71 | $17,090.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $233.42 | 71 | $16,572.83 | $16,790.96 |
$-517.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $223.09 | 75 | $16,731.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.01 | 75 | $15,226.12 | $15,285.33 |
$-1,505.62 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $209.32 | 73 | $15,280.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $208.92 | 73 | $15,250.98 | $15,255.95 |
$-29.38 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $199.96 | 76 | $15,196.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $210.36 | 76 | $15,987.35 | $16,046.34 |
+$790.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $204.36 | 78 | $15,940.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $215.37 | 78 | $16,798.86 | $16,905.12 |
+$858.78 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $217.00 | 77 | $16,709.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $209.60 | 77 | $16,139.20 | $16,335.32 |
$-569.80 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.96 | 76 | $16,261.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $207.49 | 76 | $15,769.24 | $15,843.22 |
$-492.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $213.25 | 74 | $15,780.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $206.54 | 74 | $15,283.96 | $15,346.68 |
$-496.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $206.23 | 74 | $15,261.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $199.84 | 74 | $14,788.16 | $14,873.82 |
$-472.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $200.85 | 74 | $14,862.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $211.04 | 74 | $15,616.96 | $15,627.88 |
+$754.06 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $209.28 | 74 | $15,486.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.99 | 74 | $16,575.26 | $16,716.42 |
+$1,088.54 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $231.21 | 72 | $16,647.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $245.23 | 72 | $17,656.57 | $17,725.87 |
+$1,009.45 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.33 | 71 | $17,560.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.88 | 71 | $18,451.48 | $18,616.92 |
+$891.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $262.09 | 71 | $18,608.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $275.25 | 71 | $19,542.75 | $19,551.28 |
+$934.36 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,551.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,551.28
Total Return:
+95.51%