Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 28.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.5

30-Day Momentum

69
+26.3%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.2 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,320
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,992.57
Current Value
$15,650.00
Period P&L
$4,657.43
Max Drawdown
-27.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
26 / 35
Best Trade
+15.92%
Worst Trade
-7.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,736,638.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,657.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,657.43
Gross Return
+42.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+42.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,992.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 12:25pm ET $198.44 55 $10,913.93
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $208.36 55 $11,459.97 $11,548.78 +$546.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 1:50pm ET $231.49 49 $11,342.91
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $246.85 49 $12,095.65 $12,301.52 +$752.74
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $254.51 48 $12,216.48
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 3:30pm ET $246.51 48 $11,832.48 $11,917.52 $-384.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:45am ET $242.07 49 $11,861.55
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 1:30pm ET $254.21 49 $12,456.29 $12,512.26 +$594.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 2:40pm ET $254.04 49 $12,447.96
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET $245.26 49 $12,017.74 $12,082.04 $-430.22
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:45am ET $248.50 48 $11,928.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $265.32 48 $12,735.13 $12,889.17 +$807.13
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:50am ET $266.47 48 $12,790.56
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 9:35am ET $279.92 48 $13,436.16 $13,534.77 +$645.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:35am ET $273.02 49 $13,377.98
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 11:00am ET $287.22 49 $14,073.78 $14,230.57 +$695.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 11:00am ET $281.42 50 $14,071.00
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $300.71 50 $15,035.50 $15,195.07 +$964.50
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:40am ET $299.97 50 $14,998.50
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 2:10pm ET $290.97 50 $14,548.50 $14,745.07 $-450.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $296.09 49 $14,508.41
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $311.06 49 $15,241.70 $15,478.35 +$733.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:00am ET $311.01 49 $15,239.49
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 1:05pm ET $301.09 49 $14,753.41 $14,992.28 $-486.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $300.75 49 $14,736.75
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:35am ET $289.84 49 $14,202.16 $14,457.69 $-534.59
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $287.66 50 $14,383.00
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 9:30am ET $306.44 50 $15,322.00 $15,396.69 +$939.00
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $303.94 50 $15,197.13
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:50am ET $294.73 50 $14,736.50 $14,936.06 $-460.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 2:10pm ET $301.20 49 $14,758.80
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 49 $17,108.81 $17,286.07 +$2,350.01
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:10am ET $347.56 49 $17,030.44
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $336.70 49 $16,498.21 $16,753.84 $-532.23
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:50am ET $364.96 45 $16,423.20
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 9:35am ET $352.69 45 $15,871.05 $16,201.69 $-552.15
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $344.43 47 $16,188.21
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:45am ET $333.98 47 $15,696.83 $15,710.31 $-491.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:45am ET $329.34 47 $15,479.14
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:10am ET $346.68 47 $16,293.73 $16,524.89 +$814.59
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $339.82 48 $16,311.36
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 2:50pm ET $328.82 48 $15,783.36 $15,996.89 $-528.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:00pm ET $355.33 45 $15,989.85
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $344.39 45 $15,497.55 $15,504.59 $-492.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:40am ET $353.40 43 $15,196.20
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET $342.18 43 $14,713.74 $15,022.13 $-482.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $350.50 42 $14,721.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $339.58 42 $14,262.36 $14,563.49 $-458.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 1:05pm ET $343.84 42 $14,441.28
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $361.61 42 $15,187.41 $15,309.62 +$746.13
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:10am ET $363.86 42 $15,282.12
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:35am ET $382.17 42 $16,051.14 $16,078.64 +$769.02
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:35am ET $375.11 42 $15,754.41
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:10pm ET $363.80 42 $15,279.60 $15,603.83 $-474.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET $355.24 43 $15,275.32
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $344.53 43 $14,814.79 $15,143.30 $-460.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $355.78 42 $14,942.55
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $344.21 42 $14,457.00 $14,657.76 $-485.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $341.71 42 $14,351.61
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $369.70 42 $15,527.40 $15,833.55 +$1,175.79
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $346.14 45 $15,576.30
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $335.21 45 $15,084.45 $15,341.70 $-491.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $370.72 41 $15,199.52
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:45am ET $389.85 41 $15,983.85 $16,126.03 +$784.33
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $393.15 41 $16,119.15
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $381.28 41 $15,632.48 $15,639.36 $-486.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:50am ET $374.41 41 $15,350.81
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $402.68 41 $16,509.98 $16,798.53 +$1,159.17
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:40pm ET $403.51 41 $16,543.71
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $374.57 41 $15,357.17 $15,611.99 $-1,186.54
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $352.09 44 $15,491.92
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $341.43 44 $15,022.92 $15,143.00 $-469.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $335.63 45 $15,103.35
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET $325.25 45 $14,636.25 $14,675.90 $-467.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET $334.72 43 $14,392.96
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:55am ET $352.17 43 $15,143.22 $15,426.16 +$750.26
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:50pm ET $350.76 43 $15,082.47
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 43 $14,585.60 $14,929.30 $-496.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $346.71 43 $14,908.53
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $335.68 43 $14,434.24 $14,455.01 $-474.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $343.62 42 $14,432.04
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $333.29 42 $13,998.18 $14,021.15 $-433.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $329.26 42 $13,828.92
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 42 $13,258.14 $13,450.37 $-570.78
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $326.52 41 $13,387.42
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $316.00 41 $12,956.12 $13,019.07 $-431.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:45am ET $311.24 41 $12,761.04
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $301.34 41 $12,354.94 $12,612.96 $-406.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $316.60 39 $12,347.21
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $333.18 39 $12,994.21 $13,259.97 +$647.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $346.74 38 $13,176.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.34 38 $13,084.92 $13,168.77 $-91.20
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $319.55 41 $13,101.55
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:30am ET $335.60 41 $13,759.60 $13,826.82 +$658.05
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $334.49 41 $13,714.09
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $322.80 41 $13,234.72 $13,347.45 $-479.37
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET $331.30 40 $13,252.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $320.54 40 $12,821.60 $12,917.05 $-430.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $316.55 40 $12,662.00
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $332.86 40 $13,314.60 $13,569.65 +$652.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $339.14 40 $13,565.60
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $328.88 40 $13,155.20 $13,159.25 $-410.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $345.79 38 $13,140.02
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $333.61 38 $12,677.18 $12,696.41 $-462.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $330.18 38 $12,546.84
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET $319.40 38 $12,137.20 $12,286.77 $-409.64
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $317.85 38 $12,078.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 38 $11,582.78 $11,791.25 $-495.52
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $298.41 39 $11,637.99
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $313.68 39 $12,233.52 $12,386.78 +$595.53
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $305.60 40 $12,224.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 40 $13,068.40 $13,231.18 +$844.40
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $345.83 38 $13,141.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $368.85 38 $14,016.30 $14,105.94 +$874.76
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $370.24 38 $14,069.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 38 $14,823.42 $14,860.24 +$754.30
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $399.85 37 $14,794.45
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $419.90 37 $15,536.30 $15,602.09 +$741.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $418.90 37 $15,499.30
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 37 $14,811.28 $14,914.07 $-688.02
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $397.52 37 $14,708.24
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.41 37 $15,444.17 $15,650.00 +$735.93
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,650.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,650.00
Total Return: +56.50%
Back to Marcus Reversal