BMY Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 38 trades in period
-1.27%
Last Year Return
$8,810.92
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$8,924.57
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.6/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 4.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-9.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,974
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,924.57
Current Value
$8,810.92
Period P&L
$-113.68
Max Drawdown
-28.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$654,282.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-113.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-113.68
Gross Return
-1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,924.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.83 | 178 | $8,691.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 3:25pm ET | $47.33 | 178 | $8,423.85 | $8,468.00 |
$-267.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $46.87 | 180 | $8,435.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 11:05am ET | $45.41 | 180 | $8,173.80 | $8,206.10 |
$-261.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 2:25pm ET | $45.42 | 180 | $8,174.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $47.78 | 180 | $8,600.40 | $8,631.80 |
+$425.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 12:50pm ET | $47.63 | 181 | $8,621.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 1:55pm ET | $46.15 | 181 | $8,352.25 | $8,363.02 |
$-268.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:00pm ET | $48.63 | 171 | $8,314.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.82 | 171 | $8,006.22 | $8,054.36 |
$-308.66 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $46.82 | 172 | $8,052.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.14 | 172 | $8,107.22 | $8,109.40 |
+$55.04 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 2:35pm ET | $48.87 | 165 | $8,062.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 11:05am ET | $47.34 | 165 | $7,810.28 | $7,856.95 |
$-252.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $47.79 | 164 | $7,837.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $46.30 | 164 | $7,592.38 | $7,611.77 |
$-245.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 3:35pm ET | $43.47 | 175 | $7,607.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.79 | 175 | $8,013.25 | $8,017.77 |
+$406.00 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 11:25am ET | $45.41 | 176 | $7,991.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:15pm ET | $47.70 | 176 | $8,394.32 | $8,420.81 |
+$403.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 1:50pm ET | $48.22 | 174 | $8,389.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $46.77 | 174 | $8,137.11 | $8,168.51 |
$-252.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $47.17 | 173 | $8,160.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $45.74 | 173 | $7,913.02 | $7,921.12 |
$-247.39 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 11:25am ET | $45.26 | 174 | $7,875.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $43.89 | 174 | $7,635.99 | $7,681.18 |
$-239.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 12:00pm ET | $43.35 | 177 | $7,672.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.42 | 177 | $8,215.47 | $8,224.58 |
+$543.41 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.20 | 174 | $8,212.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:25pm ET | $45.76 | 174 | $7,962.24 | $7,974.02 |
$-250.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.26 | 176 | $7,965.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $43.88 | 176 | $7,722.00 | $7,730.26 |
$-243.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:10pm ET | $43.33 | 178 | $7,712.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 3:25pm ET | $45.66 | 178 | $8,126.59 | $8,144.11 |
+$413.85 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 3:35pm ET | $46.01 | 177 | $8,142.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $48.34 | 177 | $8,555.30 | $8,556.52 |
+$412.41 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $49.42 | 173 | $8,549.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.07 | 173 | $8,142.25 | $8,149.11 |
$-407.42 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET | $47.34 | 172 | $8,141.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET | $45.91 | 172 | $7,896.52 | $7,904.01 |
$-245.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $46.50 | 169 | $7,857.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $49.03 | 169 | $8,285.23 | $8,331.58 |
+$427.57 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $49.13 | 169 | $8,302.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $51.62 | 169 | $8,723.78 | $8,752.39 |
+$420.81 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 2:45pm ET | $52.08 | 168 | $8,749.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:00pm ET | $50.50 | 168 | $8,484.77 | $8,487.72 |
$-264.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $51.09 | 166 | $8,480.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $53.66 | 166 | $8,907.56 | $8,914.33 |
+$426.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $53.74 | 165 | $8,867.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $52.10 | 165 | $8,595.68 | $8,642.90 |
$-271.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $54.21 | 159 | $8,618.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.95 | 159 | $9,055.05 | $9,079.36 |
+$436.46 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $55.68 | 163 | $9,075.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.72 | 163 | $8,756.36 | $8,759.88 |
$-319.48 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $54.91 | 159 | $8,730.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $57.75 | 159 | $9,182.25 | $9,211.44 |
+$451.56 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $58.10 | 158 | $9,180.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.13 | 158 | $9,659.33 | $9,690.18 |
+$478.74 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.15 | 158 | $9,661.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.58 | 158 | $9,570.85 | $9,599.33 |
$-90.85 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.76 | 160 | $9,560.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $62.85 | 160 | $10,056.80 | $10,095.33 |
+$496.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $61.51 | 164 | $10,087.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.65 | 164 | $9,783.42 | $9,791.11 |
$-304.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.31 | 165 | $9,786.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $57.42 | 165 | $9,473.48 | $9,478.43 |
$-312.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $57.19 | 165 | $9,436.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.31 | 165 | $9,951.15 | $9,993.23 |
+$514.80 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $61.80 | 161 | $9,949.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $59.90 | 161 | $9,644.13 | $9,687.56 |
$-305.67 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $59.06 | 164 | $9,686.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $57.28 | 164 | $9,394.03 | $9,394.94 |
$-292.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $60.08 | 156 | $9,372.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.19 | 156 | $9,076.86 | $9,099.32 |
$-295.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $59.38 | 153 | $9,085.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.50 | 153 | $8,797.50 | $8,810.92 |
$-288.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,810.92
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,189.08
Total Return:
-11.89%